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Sports·Lebron

NBA: When Will LeBron Sign?

icon for NBA: When Will LeBron Sign?
Sports·Lebron

NBA: When Will LeBron Sign?

July 3 100%

July 7 or after 50%

July 4 23%

July 6 23%

Polymarket
NOVO

July 3 100%

July 7 or after 50%

July 4 23%

July 6 23%

Polymarket
NOVO

July 2

$606 Vol.

2%

July 3

$0 Vol.

100%

July 4

$249 Vol.

23%

July 5

$240 Vol.

21%

July 6

$248 Vol.

43%

July 7 or after

$0 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve in favor of the listed date that LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “July 7 or After”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.LeBron James became an unrestricted free agent after informing the Lakers on June 30 that he would play his 24th NBA season elsewhere following eight years in Los Angeles. The league moratorium prevents official signings until July 6, creating a narrow window for negotiations that opened July 1 with at least a dozen teams reportedly expressing interest. Multiple suitors, combined with LeBron’s willingness to accept a veteran-minimum deal in some scenarios and his agent’s confirmation of active discussions, have left the exact timing of any agreement unresolved. This uncertainty keeps implied probabilities closely split between a potential quick resolution around July 3 and a more extended process extending to July 7 or later, as teams weigh roster fits and LeBron evaluates options amid standard free-agency procedures.

This market will resolve in favor of the listed date that LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team.

If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “July 7 or After”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Volume
$1,262
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the listed date that LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “July 7 or After”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the listed date that LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “July 7 or After”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.LeBron James became an unrestricted free agent after informing the Lakers on June 30 that he would play his 24th NBA season elsewhere following eight years in Los Angeles. The league moratorium prevents official signings until July 6, creating a narrow window for negotiations that opened July 1 with at least a dozen teams reportedly expressing interest. Multiple suitors, combined with LeBron’s willingness to accept a veteran-minimum deal in some scenarios and his agent’s confirmation of active discussions, have left the exact timing of any agreement unresolved. This uncertainty keeps implied probabilities closely split between a potential quick resolution around July 3 and a more extended process extending to July 7 or later, as teams weigh roster fits and LeBron evaluates options amid standard free-agency procedures.

This market will resolve in favor of the listed date that LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team.

If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “July 7 or After”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Volume
$1,262
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the listed date that LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “July 7 or After”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NBA: When Will LeBron Sign?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "July 3" at 50%, followed by "July 7 or after" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NBA: When Will LeBron Sign?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NBA: When Will LeBron Sign?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NBA: When Will LeBron Sign?" is "July 3" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "July 7 or after" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NBA: When Will LeBron Sign?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.