Traders view a Putin meeting with Iranian officials by August 31 as a near-certainty due to confirmed diplomatic momentum, including a late-August phone call between the Russian president and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian that advanced bilateral coordination on energy, trade, and regional security. Strong Russia-Iran ties, reinforced by the comprehensive strategic partnership and shared interests amid Middle East tensions, made sideline discussions at the SCO summit highly probable. Public schedules and official statements reflected this consensus well before the deadline. Even at 100% implied probability, an unforeseen cancellation from health issues, sudden security threats, or last-minute venue changes could have shifted the result, though none occurred.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPutin se reúne com autoridades iranianas até 31 de agosto?
Sim
$263,480 Vol.
$263,480 Vol.
Sim
$263,480 Vol.
$263,480 Vol.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 3, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Não
Contestado
Resultado proposto: Sim
Contestado
Resultado final: Sim
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Não
Contestado
Resultado proposto: Sim
Contestado
Resultado final: Sim
Traders view a Putin meeting with Iranian officials by August 31 as a near-certainty due to confirmed diplomatic momentum, including a late-August phone call between the Russian president and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian that advanced bilateral coordination on energy, trade, and regional security. Strong Russia-Iran ties, reinforced by the comprehensive strategic partnership and shared interests amid Middle East tensions, made sideline discussions at the SCO summit highly probable. Public schedules and official statements reflected this consensus well before the deadline. Even at 100% implied probability, an unforeseen cancellation from health issues, sudden security threats, or last-minute venue changes could have shifted the result, though none occurred.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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