SpaceX's post-IPO share price, recently trading near levels implying a roughly $1.8 trillion market cap, anchors trader consensus around the $1.75–2.00T range for end-August resolution. The June 2026 listing at $135 per share initially propelled the valuation above $2 trillion amid strong debut momentum, but subsequent earnings highlighted elevated capital expenditures and negative free cash flow, contributing to a pullback while revenue growth from Starlink and launch operations continued. With minimal near-term catalysts before month-end and limited trading volatility expected, market-implied odds reflect current equity pricing and the absence of material shifts in macroeconomic rates or sector benchmarks that could alter multiples in the short window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSpace Exploration Technologies’s Market Cap end of August 2026?
Space Exploration Technologies’s Market Cap end of August 2026?
<$1.00T 66%
$1.75-$2.00T 62%
$1.25-$1.50T 36%
$2.00-$2.25T 36%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
<$1.00T
66%
$1.00-$1.25T
34%
$1.25-$1.50T
36%
$1.50-$1.75T
18%
$1.75-$2.00T
62%
$2.00-$2.25T
36%
$2.25T+
34%
<$1.00T 66%
$1.75-$2.00T 62%
$1.25-$1.50T 36%
$2.00-$2.25T 36%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
<$1.00T
$10 Vol.
66%
$1.00-$1.25T
$0 Vol.
34%
$1.25-$1.50T
$0 Vol.
36%
$1.50-$1.75T
$2,084 Vol.
18%
$1.75-$2.00T
$0 Vol.
62%
$2.00-$2.25T
$0 Vol.
36%
$2.25T+
$0 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's post-IPO share price, recently trading near levels implying a roughly $1.8 trillion market cap, anchors trader consensus around the $1.75–2.00T range for end-August resolution. The June 2026 listing at $135 per share initially propelled the valuation above $2 trillion amid strong debut momentum, but subsequent earnings highlighted elevated capital expenditures and negative free cash flow, contributing to a pullback while revenue growth from Starlink and launch operations continued. With minimal near-term catalysts before month-end and limited trading volatility expected, market-implied odds reflect current equity pricing and the absence of material shifts in macroeconomic rates or sector benchmarks that could alter multiples in the short window.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ET
Volume
$2,094Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's post-IPO share price, recently trading near levels implying a roughly $1.8 trillion market cap, anchors trader consensus around the $1.75–2.00T range for end-August resolution. The June 2026 listing at $135 per share initially propelled the valuation above $2 trillion amid strong debut momentum, but subsequent earnings highlighted elevated capital expenditures and negative free cash flow, contributing to a pullback while revenue growth from Starlink and launch operations continued. With minimal near-term catalysts before month-end and limited trading volatility expected, market-implied odds reflect current equity pricing and the absence of material shifts in macroeconomic rates or sector benchmarks that could alter multiples in the short window.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$2,094Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's post-IPO share price, recently trading near levels implying a roughly $1.8 trillion market cap, anchors trader consensus around the $1.75–2.00T range for end-August resolution. The June 2026 listing at $135 per share initially propelled the valuation above $2 trillion amid strong debut momentum, but subsequent earnings highlighted elevated capital expenditures and negative free cash flow, contributing to a pullback while revenue growth from Starlink and launch operations continued. With minimal near-term catalysts before month-end and limited trading volatility expected, market-implied odds reflect current equity pricing and the absence of material shifts in macroeconomic rates or sector benchmarks that could alter multiples in the short window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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Frequently Asked Questions