The tight clustering of implied probabilities among Spain, France, England, Germany, and Portugal reflects the depth of talent across Europe's elite national teams following Spain's 2024 UEFA European Championship victory and strong showings by the other contenders in recent Nations League and qualifying cycles. Squad continuity, emerging young players, and coaching stability support these positions, while the gap to the rest of the field highlights advantages in historical pedigree and infrastructure. Minor adjustments in form, injury recoveries, or results in 2026 World Cup qualifiers could still shift the competitive balance over the extended timeline to 2028.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEspanha 23%
França 20%
Inglaterra 16%
Alemanha 10%
$59,803 Vol.
$59,803 Vol.
Albânia
<1%
Andorra
<1%
Armênia
<1%
Áustria
1%
Azerbaijão
<1%
Bielorrússia
<1%
Bélgica
4%
Bósnia e Herzegovina
<1%
Bulgária
<1%
Croácia
1%
Chipre
<1%
República Tcheca
<1%
Dinamarca
1%
Inglaterra
16%
Estônia
<1%
Ilhas Faroe
<1%
Finlândia
<1%
França
20%
Geórgia
<1%
Alemanha
10%
Gibraltar
<1%
Grécia
1%
Hungria
<1%
Islândia
<1%
Israel
<1%
Itália
4%
Cazaquistão
<1%
Kosovo
<1%
Letônia
<1%
Liechtenstein
<1%
Lituânia
<1%
Luxemburgo
<1%
Malta
<1%
Moldávia
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Holanda
7%
Macedônia do Norte
<1%
Irlanda do Norte
<1%
Noruega
6%
Polônia
1%
Portugal
10%
República da Irlanda
<1%
Romênia
<1%
Rússia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Escócia
<1%
Sérvia
<1%
Eslováquia
<1%
Eslovênia
<1%
Espanha
23%
Suécia
1%
Suíça
2%
Turquia
1%
Ucrânia
<1%
País de Gales
<1%
Espanha 23%
França 20%
Inglaterra 16%
Alemanha 10%
$59,803 Vol.
$59,803 Vol.
Albânia
<1%
Andorra
<1%
Armênia
<1%
Áustria
1%
Azerbaijão
<1%
Bielorrússia
<1%
Bélgica
4%
Bósnia e Herzegovina
<1%
Bulgária
<1%
Croácia
1%
Chipre
<1%
República Tcheca
<1%
Dinamarca
1%
Inglaterra
16%
Estônia
<1%
Ilhas Faroe
<1%
Finlândia
<1%
França
20%
Geórgia
<1%
Alemanha
10%
Gibraltar
<1%
Grécia
1%
Hungria
<1%
Islândia
<1%
Israel
<1%
Itália
4%
Cazaquistão
<1%
Kosovo
<1%
Letônia
<1%
Liechtenstein
<1%
Lituânia
<1%
Luxemburgo
<1%
Malta
<1%
Moldávia
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Holanda
7%
Macedônia do Norte
<1%
Irlanda do Norte
<1%
Noruega
6%
Polônia
1%
Portugal
10%
República da Irlanda
<1%
Romênia
<1%
Rússia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Escócia
<1%
Sérvia
<1%
Eslováquia
<1%
Eslovênia
<1%
Espanha
23%
Suécia
1%
Suíça
2%
Turquia
1%
Ucrânia
<1%
País de Gales
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 20, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of implied probabilities among Spain, France, England, Germany, and Portugal reflects the depth of talent across Europe's elite national teams following Spain's 2024 UEFA European Championship victory and strong showings by the other contenders in recent Nations League and qualifying cycles. Squad continuity, emerging young players, and coaching stability support these positions, while the gap to the rest of the field highlights advantages in historical pedigree and infrastructure. Minor adjustments in form, injury recoveries, or results in 2026 World Cup qualifiers could still shift the competitive balance over the extended timeline to 2028.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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