The tight clustering of implied probabilities among Spain, France, England, Germany, and Portugal reflects the depth of talent across Europe's elite national teams following Spain's 2024 UEFA European Championship victory and strong showings by the other contenders in recent Nations League and qualifying cycles. Squad continuity, emerging young players, and coaching stability support these positions, while the gap to the rest of the field highlights advantages in historical pedigree and infrastructure. Minor adjustments in form, injury recoveries, or results in 2026 World Cup qualifiers could still shift the competitive balance over the extended timeline to 2028.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEspanha 23%
França 20%
Inglaterra 16%
Alemanha 10%
$59,803 Vol.
$59,803 Vol.
Albânia
<1%
Andorra
<1%
Armênia
<1%
Áustria
1%
Azerbaijão
<1%
Bielorrússia
<1%
Bélgica
4%
Bósnia e Herzegovina
<1%
Bulgária
<1%
Croácia
1%
Chipre
<1%
República Tcheca
<1%
Dinamarca
1%
Inglaterra
16%
Estônia
<1%
Ilhas Faroe
<1%
Finlândia
<1%
França
20%
Geórgia
<1%
Alemanha
10%
Gibraltar
<1%
Grécia
1%
Hungria
<1%
Islândia
<1%
Israel
<1%
Itália
4%
Cazaquistão
<1%
Kosovo
<1%
Letônia
<1%
Liechtenstein
<1%
Lituânia
<1%
Luxemburgo
<1%
Malta
<1%
Moldávia
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Holanda
7%
Macedônia do Norte
<1%
Irlanda do Norte
<1%
Noruega
6%
Polônia
1%
Portugal
10%
República da Irlanda
<1%
Romênia
<1%
Rússia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Escócia
<1%
Sérvia
<1%
Eslováquia
<1%
Eslovênia
<1%
Espanha
23%
Suécia
1%
Suíça
2%
Turquia
1%
Ucrânia
<1%
País de Gales
<1%
Espanha 23%
França 20%
Inglaterra 16%
Alemanha 10%
$59,803 Vol.
$59,803 Vol.
Albânia
$1,214 Vol.
<1%
Andorra
$1,175 Vol.
<1%
Armênia
$350 Vol.
<1%
Áustria
$1,410 Vol.
1%
Azerbaijão
$225 Vol.
<1%
Bielorrússia
$225 Vol.
<1%
Bélgica
$3,090 Vol.
4%
Bósnia e Herzegovina
$1,192 Vol.
<1%
Bulgária
$225 Vol.
<1%
Croácia
$1,825 Vol.
1%
Chipre
$225 Vol.
<1%
República Tcheca
$1,304 Vol.
<1%
Dinamarca
$1,504 Vol.
1%
Inglaterra
$1,830 Vol.
16%
Estônia
$366 Vol.
<1%
Ilhas Faroe
$225 Vol.
<1%
Finlândia
$1,008 Vol.
<1%
França
$3,821 Vol.
20%
Geórgia
$1,029 Vol.
<1%
Alemanha
$1,672 Vol.
10%
Gibraltar
$274 Vol.
<1%
Grécia
$2,177 Vol.
1%
Hungria
$1,311 Vol.
<1%
Islândia
$1,008 Vol.
<1%
Israel
$570 Vol.
<1%
Itália
$1,745 Vol.
4%
Cazaquistão
$175 Vol.
<1%
Kosovo
$1,824 Vol.
<1%
Letônia
$175 Vol.
<1%
Liechtenstein
$175 Vol.
<1%
Lituânia
$375 Vol.
<1%
Luxemburgo
$175 Vol.
<1%
Malta
$175 Vol.
<1%
Moldávia
$175 Vol.
<1%
Montenegro
$172 Vol.
<1%
Holanda
$1,653 Vol.
7%
Macedônia do Norte
$112 Vol.
<1%
Irlanda do Norte
$175 Vol.
<1%
Noruega
$2,493 Vol.
6%
Polônia
$1,335 Vol.
1%
Portugal
$1,806 Vol.
10%
República da Irlanda
$948 Vol.
<1%
Romênia
$1,000 Vol.
<1%
Rússia
$522 Vol.
<1%
San Marino
$175 Vol.
<1%
Escócia
$1,101 Vol.
<1%
Sérvia
$1,094 Vol.
<1%
Eslováquia
$174 Vol.
<1%
Eslovênia
$806 Vol.
<1%
Espanha
$5,028 Vol.
23%
Suécia
$1,596 Vol.
1%
Suíça
$1,474 Vol.
2%
Turquia
$1,543 Vol.
1%
Ucrânia
$1,009 Vol.
<1%
País de Gales
$1,338 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The tight clustering of implied probabilities among Spain, France, England, Germany, and Portugal reflects the depth of talent across Europe's elite national teams following Spain's 2024 UEFA European Championship victory and strong showings by the other contenders in recent Nations League and qualifying cycles. Squad continuity, emerging young players, and coaching stability support these positions, while the gap to the rest of the field highlights advantages in historical pedigree and infrastructure. Minor adjustments in form, injury recoveries, or results in 2026 World Cup qualifiers could still shift the competitive balance over the extended timeline to 2028.
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 20, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Volume
$59,803Mercado Aberto
Jul 20, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The tight clustering of implied probabilities among Spain, France, England, Germany, and Portugal reflects the depth of talent across Europe's elite national teams following Spain's 2024 UEFA European Championship victory and strong showings by the other contenders in recent Nations League and qualifying cycles. Squad continuity, emerging young players, and coaching stability support these positions, while the gap to the rest of the field highlights advantages in historical pedigree and infrastructure. Minor adjustments in form, injury recoveries, or results in 2026 World Cup qualifiers could still shift the competitive balance over the extended timeline to 2028.
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$59,803Mercado Aberto
Jul 20, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of implied probabilities among Spain, France, England, Germany, and Portugal reflects the depth of talent across Europe's elite national teams following Spain's 2024 UEFA European Championship victory and strong showings by the other contenders in recent Nations League and qualifying cycles. Squad continuity, emerging young players, and coaching stability support these positions, while the gap to the rest of the field highlights advantages in historical pedigree and infrastructure. Minor adjustments in form, injury recoveries, or results in 2026 World Cup qualifiers could still shift the competitive balance over the extended timeline to 2028.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions