Ogre United sits bottom of the 2026 Virslīga table with just 15 points from 30 matches and a -47 goal difference, making direct relegation to the First League the most likely outcome for the promoted side. Tukums 2000 (23 points) and Grobiņa (25 points) occupy the next two spots and face the strongest pressure to avoid the automatic drop or the November two-legged play-off against the third-placed First League team. The top three—Riga FC, RFS, and Auda—have already secured European spots, leaving the lower half to play out survival over the remaining fixtures. Recent results show the bottom sides struggling for wins, with Ogre United especially winless in most recent outings and leaking goals consistently. Remaining schedule difficulty, home/away form, and any late injuries or squad changes among the lower teams will shape whether the gap to safety narrows or widens before the November deadline.