Geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran, including effective restrictions on Strait of Hormuz shipping, have driven WTI crude oil prices sharply higher in recent weeks, with futures trading near $102 per barrel as of mid-May 2026 amid sizable inventory draws and Middle East production shut-ins estimated at over 10 million barrels per day. These supply constraints have created a tight near-term balance that supports elevated levels, even as some easing in hostilities and rising US exports introduce downside risks. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA petroleum status reports and the upcoming June OPEC+ meeting for signals on quota adjustments, while broader demand signals from China and robust US output growth continue to shape the forward curve. Market-implied probabilities reflect a consensus favoring sustained strength above key thresholds like $100, tempered by the potential for de-escalation to restore flows later in the quarter.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoO que o WTI Crude Oil (WTI) atingirá em maio de 2026?
$18,645,479 Vol.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
4%
↑ $130
13%
↑ $120
27%
↑ US$115
45%
↑ $110
63%
↑ $105
90%
↓ $95
42%
↓ $90
25%
↓ $85
14%
↓ $80
8%
↓ $70
3%
↓ $60
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
↓ $50
<1%
↓ $30
<1%
$18,645,479 Vol.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
4%
↑ $130
13%
↑ $120
27%
↑ US$115
45%
↑ $110
63%
↑ $105
90%
↓ $95
42%
↓ $90
25%
↓ $85
14%
↓ $80
8%
↓ $70
3%
↓ $60
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
↓ $50
<1%
↓ $30
<1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Fonte de resolução
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran, including effective restrictions on Strait of Hormuz shipping, have driven WTI crude oil prices sharply higher in recent weeks, with futures trading near $102 per barrel as of mid-May 2026 amid sizable inventory draws and Middle East production shut-ins estimated at over 10 million barrels per day. These supply constraints have created a tight near-term balance that supports elevated levels, even as some easing in hostilities and rising US exports introduce downside risks. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA petroleum status reports and the upcoming June OPEC+ meeting for signals on quota adjustments, while broader demand signals from China and robust US output growth continue to shape the forward curve. Market-implied probabilities reflect a consensus favoring sustained strength above key thresholds like $100, tempered by the potential for de-escalation to restore flows later in the quarter.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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