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icon for Quem vai ao casamento de Cristiano Ronaldo?

Quem vai ao casamento de Cristiano Ronaldo?

icon for Quem vai ao casamento de Cristiano Ronaldo?

Quem vai ao casamento de Cristiano Ronaldo?

NOVO

$149,041 Vol.

8 ago 2026
Polymarket

$149,041 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Marcelo

Marcelo

$13,210 Vol.

59%

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João Félix

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44%

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Leonardo Bonucci

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Mohammed bin Salman

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the wedding of Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodriguez between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the wedding is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the wedding. A qualifying wedding must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe. Attendance at a wedding which occurred before market creation will not qualify. If it is confirmed that a wedding between Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodriguez occurred before market creation, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.With the couple's engagement confirmed since August 2025 and Ronaldo stating in a Piers Morgan interview that the ceremony would follow the 2026 World Cup, trader sentiment for attendance markets remains highly uncertain amid a flood of unverified August 2026 rumors centered on Madeira's Funchal Cathedral. No official date, venue, or guest list has been released, leaving implied probabilities sensitive to fresh tabloid speculation about invitees from football circles like Beckham or Mbappé versus more private family-focused plans. Recent social media buzz and hotel booking reports have briefly shifted focus toward a possible immediate event, yet the lack of direct statements from Ronaldo or Rodríguez underscores the risk of rapid reversals in these celebrity-driven markets. Traders should monitor credible Portuguese media for any verified updates ahead of late-summer timelines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the wedding of Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodriguez between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the wedding is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the wedding.

A qualifying wedding must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe.

Attendance at a wedding which occurred before market creation will not qualify. If it is confirmed that a wedding between Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodriguez occurred before market creation, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$149,041
Data de Término
8 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the wedding of Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodriguez between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the wedding is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the wedding. A qualifying wedding must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe. Attendance at a wedding which occurred before market creation will not qualify. If it is confirmed that a wedding between Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodriguez occurred before market creation, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the wedding of Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodriguez between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the wedding is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the wedding. A qualifying wedding must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe. Attendance at a wedding which occurred before market creation will not qualify. If it is confirmed that a wedding between Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodriguez occurred before market creation, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.With the couple's engagement confirmed since August 2025 and Ronaldo stating in a Piers Morgan interview that the ceremony would follow the 2026 World Cup, trader sentiment for attendance markets remains highly uncertain amid a flood of unverified August 2026 rumors centered on Madeira's Funchal Cathedral. No official date, venue, or guest list has been released, leaving implied probabilities sensitive to fresh tabloid speculation about invitees from football circles like Beckham or Mbappé versus more private family-focused plans. Recent social media buzz and hotel booking reports have briefly shifted focus toward a possible immediate event, yet the lack of direct statements from Ronaldo or Rodríguez underscores the risk of rapid reversals in these celebrity-driven markets. Traders should monitor credible Portuguese media for any verified updates ahead of late-summer timelines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the wedding of Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodriguez between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the wedding is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the wedding.

A qualifying wedding must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe.

Attendance at a wedding which occurred before market creation will not qualify. If it is confirmed that a wedding between Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodriguez occurred before market creation, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$149,041
Data de Término
8 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the wedding of Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodriguez between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the wedding is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the wedding. A qualifying wedding must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe. Attendance at a wedding which occurred before market creation will not qualify. If it is confirmed that a wedding between Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodriguez occurred before market creation, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem vai ao casamento de Cristiano Ronaldo?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marcelo" at 59%, followed by "João Félix" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem vai ao casamento de Cristiano Ronaldo?" has generated $149K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem vai ao casamento de Cristiano Ronaldo?," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem vai ao casamento de Cristiano Ronaldo?" is "Marcelo" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "João Félix" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem vai ao casamento de Cristiano Ronaldo?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.