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icon for Quem votará para confirmar Kevin Warsh como presidente do Fed?
Política·Congresso

Quem votará para confirmar Kevin Warsh como presidente do Fed?

icon for Quem votará para confirmar Kevin Warsh como presidente do Fed?
Política·Congresso

Quem votará para confirmar Kevin Warsh como presidente do Fed?

$148,701 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$148,701 Vol.

Polymarket

Thom Tillis

$48,220 Vol.

Sim

Elizabeth Warren

$48,348 Vol.

Não

Bernie Sanders

$18,232 Vol.

Não

Chuck Schumer

$6,952 Vol.

Não

Lisa Murkowski

$793 Vol.

Sim

Kevin Cramer

$8,227 Vol.

Sim

John Kennedy

$17,929 Vol.

Sim

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.The Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair in a 54-45 vote on May 13, 2026, with Pennsylvania Democrat John Fetterman crossing party lines to join Republicans, marking the slimmest margin for a Fed Chair confirmation. President Trump had nominated the former Fed governor in March 2026 to succeed Jerome Powell, whose term ends May 15. Warsh first cleared the Senate Banking Committee on a 13-11 party-line vote in late April, followed by a 49-44 cloture invocation on May 11 and 51-45 approval for the Board of Governors seat yesterday. Traders should monitor official Senate records for individual vote tallies, as the two-step process—governor confirmation then chair designation—resolves the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$148,701
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.The Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair in a 54-45 vote on May 13, 2026, with Pennsylvania Democrat John Fetterman crossing party lines to join Republicans, marking the slimmest margin for a Fed Chair confirmation. President Trump had nominated the former Fed governor in March 2026 to succeed Jerome Powell, whose term ends May 15. Warsh first cleared the Senate Banking Committee on a 13-11 party-line vote in late April, followed by a 49-44 cloture invocation on May 11 and 51-45 approval for the Board of Governors seat yesterday. Traders should monitor official Senate records for individual vote tallies, as the two-step process—governor confirmation then chair designation—resolves the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$148,701
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem votará para confirmar Kevin Warsh como presidente do Fed?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Thom Tillis" at 100%, followed by "Lisa Murkowski" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem votará para confirmar Kevin Warsh como presidente do Fed?" has generated $148.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem votará para confirmar Kevin Warsh como presidente do Fed?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem votará para confirmar Kevin Warsh como presidente do Fed?" is "Thom Tillis" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lisa Murkowski" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem votará para confirmar Kevin Warsh como presidente do Fed?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.