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icon for Will Radiant or Dire have Higher Win Rate at EWC 2026

Will Radiant or Dire have Higher Win Rate at EWC 2026

icon for Will Radiant or Dire have Higher Win Rate at EWC 2026

Will Radiant or Dire have Higher Win Rate at EWC 2026

NOVO
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

Radiant

$0 Vol.

29%

Dire

$0 Vol.

29%

Neither

$0 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve based on which map side — Radiant or Dire — wins more total games across the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC) Dota 2 tournament, held July 7–19, 2026 in Paris, France. Each completed game counts as a win for the listed side whose team won that game. All official games played as part of the EWC 2026 Dota 2 tournament count toward the total, including group stage, survival/gauntlet stage, playoff, and any tiebreaker games that produce a result. Games that are not completed — including forfeits, technical remakes that are replayed, or games with no recorded winner — do not count. This market will resolve to Radiant if Radiant-side teams win more total games than Dire-side teams across the tournament. It will resolve to Dire if Dire-side teams win more total games than Radiant-side teams. It will resolve to Neither if both sides win an equal number of games. If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed such that the tournament is not completed and final side-win data is not available by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com), using its per-game side (Radiant/Dire) and winner data for the EWC 2026 event. Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/Esports_World_Cup/2026) and Datdota (https://www.datdota.com) may be used as secondary sources. A consensus of credible reporting or publicly available match data may also be used where the primary source is incomplete.Radiant has historically posted higher win rates than Dire across major Dota 2 events, often in the 53-58% range during recent The International and EPT tournaments due to map geometry, rune control, and early-game positioning advantages. Recent patches and qualifiers have maintained or widened this gap, with pro data from late 2025 showing Radiant near 60% in some samples. At EWC 2026, which begins July 6 in Paris with a $2 million prize pool and best-of-three series, the large field of EPT-ranked squads and defending champion Team Spirit will generate hundreds of maps. Traders weigh whether the established side bias persists in the current meta or if Dire adjustments in draft and vision play narrow it during the group and playoff stages.

This market will resolve based on which map side — Radiant or Dire — wins more total games across the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC) Dota 2 tournament, held July 7–19, 2026 in Paris, France.

Each completed game counts as a win for the listed side whose team won that game. All official games played as part of the EWC 2026 Dota 2 tournament count toward the total, including group stage, survival/gauntlet stage, playoff, and any tiebreaker games that produce a result. Games that are not completed — including forfeits, technical remakes that are replayed, or games with no recorded winner — do not count.

This market will resolve to Radiant if Radiant-side teams win more total games than Dire-side teams across the tournament. It will resolve to Dire if Dire-side teams win more total games than Radiant-side teams. It will resolve to Neither if both sides win an equal number of games.

If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed such that the tournament is not completed and final side-win data is not available by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com), using its per-game side (Radiant/Dire) and winner data for the EWC 2026 event. Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/Esports_World_Cup/2026) and Datdota (https://www.datdota.com) may be used as secondary sources. A consensus of credible reporting or publicly available match data may also be used where the primary source is incomplete.
Volume
$0
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
This market will resolve based on which map side — Radiant or Dire — wins more total games across the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC) Dota 2 tournament, held July 7–19, 2026 in Paris, France. Each completed game counts as a win for the listed side whose team won that game. All official games played as part of the EWC 2026 Dota 2 tournament count toward the total, including group stage, survival/gauntlet stage, playoff, and any tiebreaker games that produce a result. Games that are not completed — including forfeits, technical remakes that are replayed, or games with no recorded winner — do not count. This market will resolve to Radiant if Radiant-side teams win more total games than Dire-side teams across the tournament. It will resolve to Dire if Dire-side teams win more total games than Radiant-side teams. It will resolve to Neither if both sides win an equal number of games. If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed such that the tournament is not completed and final side-win data is not available by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com), using its per-game side (Radiant/Dire) and winner data for the EWC 2026 event. Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/Esports_World_Cup/2026) and Datdota (https://www.datdota.com) may be used as secondary sources. A consensus of credible reporting or publicly available match data may also be used where the primary source is incomplete.
This market will resolve based on which map side — Radiant or Dire — wins more total games across the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC) Dota 2 tournament, held July 7–19, 2026 in Paris, France. Each completed game counts as a win for the listed side whose team won that game. All official games played as part of the EWC 2026 Dota 2 tournament count toward the total, including group stage, survival/gauntlet stage, playoff, and any tiebreaker games that produce a result. Games that are not completed — including forfeits, technical remakes that are replayed, or games with no recorded winner — do not count. This market will resolve to Radiant if Radiant-side teams win more total games than Dire-side teams across the tournament. It will resolve to Dire if Dire-side teams win more total games than Radiant-side teams. It will resolve to Neither if both sides win an equal number of games. If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed such that the tournament is not completed and final side-win data is not available by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com), using its per-game side (Radiant/Dire) and winner data for the EWC 2026 event. Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/Esports_World_Cup/2026) and Datdota (https://www.datdota.com) may be used as secondary sources. A consensus of credible reporting or publicly available match data may also be used where the primary source is incomplete.Radiant has historically posted higher win rates than Dire across major Dota 2 events, often in the 53-58% range during recent The International and EPT tournaments due to map geometry, rune control, and early-game positioning advantages. Recent patches and qualifiers have maintained or widened this gap, with pro data from late 2025 showing Radiant near 60% in some samples. At EWC 2026, which begins July 6 in Paris with a $2 million prize pool and best-of-three series, the large field of EPT-ranked squads and defending champion Team Spirit will generate hundreds of maps. Traders weigh whether the established side bias persists in the current meta or if Dire adjustments in draft and vision play narrow it during the group and playoff stages.

This market will resolve based on which map side — Radiant or Dire — wins more total games across the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC) Dota 2 tournament, held July 7–19, 2026 in Paris, France.

Each completed game counts as a win for the listed side whose team won that game. All official games played as part of the EWC 2026 Dota 2 tournament count toward the total, including group stage, survival/gauntlet stage, playoff, and any tiebreaker games that produce a result. Games that are not completed — including forfeits, technical remakes that are replayed, or games with no recorded winner — do not count.

This market will resolve to Radiant if Radiant-side teams win more total games than Dire-side teams across the tournament. It will resolve to Dire if Dire-side teams win more total games than Radiant-side teams. It will resolve to Neither if both sides win an equal number of games.

If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed such that the tournament is not completed and final side-win data is not available by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com), using its per-game side (Radiant/Dire) and winner data for the EWC 2026 event. Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/Esports_World_Cup/2026) and Datdota (https://www.datdota.com) may be used as secondary sources. A consensus of credible reporting or publicly available match data may also be used where the primary source is incomplete.
Volume
$0
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
This market will resolve based on which map side — Radiant or Dire — wins more total games across the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC) Dota 2 tournament, held July 7–19, 2026 in Paris, France. Each completed game counts as a win for the listed side whose team won that game. All official games played as part of the EWC 2026 Dota 2 tournament count toward the total, including group stage, survival/gauntlet stage, playoff, and any tiebreaker games that produce a result. Games that are not completed — including forfeits, technical remakes that are replayed, or games with no recorded winner — do not count. This market will resolve to Radiant if Radiant-side teams win more total games than Dire-side teams across the tournament. It will resolve to Dire if Dire-side teams win more total games than Radiant-side teams. It will resolve to Neither if both sides win an equal number of games. If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed such that the tournament is not completed and final side-win data is not available by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com), using its per-game side (Radiant/Dire) and winner data for the EWC 2026 event. Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/Esports_World_Cup/2026) and Datdota (https://www.datdota.com) may be used as secondary sources. A consensus of credible reporting or publicly available match data may also be used where the primary source is incomplete.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Radiant or Dire have Higher Win Rate at EWC 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Radiant" at 29%, followed by "Dire" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 29¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Radiant or Dire have Higher Win Rate at EWC 2026" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Radiant or Dire have Higher Win Rate at EWC 2026," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Radiant or Dire have Higher Win Rate at EWC 2026" is "Radiant" at 29%, meaning the market assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dire" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Radiant or Dire have Higher Win Rate at EWC 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.