**Tiger Woods has not started a PGA Tour event since the 2024 Open Championship, hampered by a ruptured left Achilles tendon in March 2025, lumbar disc replacement surgery (his seventh back procedure) in October 2025, and a March 2026 rollover crash that led to a DUI arrest and months of treatment.** At age 50 with more than 20 career operations, his primary barrier remains physical endurance for walking full competitive rounds over multiple days rather than swing mechanics, which recent range footage from a September 2026 charity clinic showed as functional. Woods has made no official entries or commitments for any 2026 PGA Tour events, instead prioritizing recovery after stepping away from competition and his committee role following the crash. Recent range work and comments that he “can hit pretty much anything” signal progress but do not address the multi-round demands of tournament play or resolve the absence of scheduled starts. The market’s 83.5% implied probability on “No” aligns with this extended absence, repeated injury setbacks, and lack of confirmed return plans before year-end.