Brazil enters the 2026 World Cup as the clear Group C frontrunner, backed by five titles, elite squad depth, and recent friendlies showing attacking potency despite occasional inconsistencies. Morocco’s 20.5% implied probability reflects their status as the primary challenger, driven by 2022 semifinal pedigree, an unbeaten qualifying campaign, and high expectations from Atlas Lions supporters. Scotland’s modest share stems from their first appearance since 1998 and solid European form, offering realistic third-place upside but facing a steep gap against the top two. Haiti trails at under 1%, limited by lower FIFA ranking and historical results. The June 13 opener between Brazil and Morocco will heavily shape early group dynamics and trader adjustments.