Skip to main content
icon for Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

icon for Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

França 16.2%

Espanha 16.0%

Inglaterra 10.8%

Portugal 10.1%

Polymarket

$1,826,999,292 Vol.

França 16.2%

Espanha 16.0%

Inglaterra 10.8%

Portugal 10.1%

Polymarket

$1,826,999,292 Vol.

icon for França

França

$41,244,431 Vol.

16%

icon for Espanha

Espanha

$33,993,067 Vol.

16%

icon for Inglaterra

Inglaterra

$29,401,937 Vol.

11%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$35,768,033 Vol.

10%

icon for Argentina

Argentina

$31,004,290 Vol.

9%

icon for Brasil

Brasil

$31,255,786 Vol.

8%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$33,660,608 Vol.

5%

icon for Holanda

Holanda

$34,758,884 Vol.

4%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$35,098,347 Vol.

3%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$36,711,225 Vol.

2%

icon for Colômbia

Colômbia

$36,282,147 Vol.

2%

icon for Japão

Japão

$37,529,170 Vol.

2%

icon for Marrocos

Marrocos

$41,041,482 Vol.

2%

icon for México

México

$41,218,185 Vol.

1%

icon for Suíça

Suíça

$35,512,824 Vol.

1%

icon for EUA

EUA

$51,340,623 Vol.

1%

icon for Turquia

Turquia

$34,587,525 Vol.

1%

icon for Uruguai

Uruguai

$35,843,578 Vol.

1%

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$42,615,145 Vol.

1%

icon for Equador

Equador

$41,102,785 Vol.

1%

icon for Senegal

Senegal

$35,929,995 Vol.

1%

icon for Costa do Marfim

Costa do Marfim

$49,913,438 Vol.

<1%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$40,322,697 Vol.

<1%

icon for Canadá

Canadá

$41,226,926 Vol.

<1%

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$27,287,454 Vol.

<1%

icon for Coreia do Sul

Coreia do Sul

$44,974,126 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paraguai

Paraguai

$35,070,269 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escócia

Escócia

$38,944,490 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$20,704,753 Vol.

<1%

icon for Egito

Egito

$48,972,815 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irã

Irã

$41,532,569 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gana

Gana

$34,624,537 Vol.

<1%

icon for Argélia

Argélia

$40,301,910 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bósnia-Herzegovina

Bósnia-Herzegovina

$23,789,008 Vol.

<1%

icon for RD Congo

RD Congo

$55,598,508 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$44,086,284 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nova Zelândia

Nova Zelândia

$45,293,437 Vol.

<1%

icon for Haiti

Haiti

$31,845,001 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordânia

Jordânia

$31,350,386 Vol.

<1%

icon for Curaçao

Curaçao

$41,431,004 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tunísia

Tunísia

$35,316,035 Vol.

<1%

icon for Uzbequistão

Uzbequistão

$58,846,939 Vol.

<1%

icon for Panamá

Panamá

$19,162,469 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iraque

Iraque

$28,614,959 Vol.

<1%

icon for África do Sul

África do Sul

$37,646,637 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Verde

Cabo Verde

$39,944,583 Vol.

<1%

icon for Catar

Catar

$41,440,377 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arábia Saudita

Arábia Saudita

$45,918,588 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.European powerhouses dominate the 2026 World Cup winner market due to squad depth, recent tournament pedigree, and star quality that keeps the top contenders tightly bunched. Spain edges the consensus after its Euro 2024 triumph and continued strong form under Luis de la Fuente, featuring dynamic play from emerging talents alongside experienced leaders. France follows closely with Didier Deschamps’ roster blending established stars like Kylian Mbappé and exceptional bench strength. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil trail within a few percentage points, bolstered by consistent international results, deep attacking options, and historical success that traders view as reliable indicators. The expanded 48-team field and balanced group draws further compress probabilities among these sides, reflecting broad market agreement on their realistic paths to the final stages.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,826,999,292
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.European powerhouses dominate the 2026 World Cup winner market due to squad depth, recent tournament pedigree, and star quality that keeps the top contenders tightly bunched. Spain edges the consensus after its Euro 2024 triumph and continued strong form under Luis de la Fuente, featuring dynamic play from emerging talents alongside experienced leaders. France follows closely with Didier Deschamps’ roster blending established stars like Kylian Mbappé and exceptional bench strength. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil trail within a few percentage points, bolstered by consistent international results, deep attacking options, and historical success that traders view as reliable indicators. The expanded 48-team field and balanced group draws further compress probabilities among these sides, reflecting broad market agreement on their realistic paths to the final stages.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,826,999,292
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "França" at 16%, followed by "Espanha" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " has generated $1.8 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " is "França" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Espanha" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.