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Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

icon for Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

Espanha 16.4%

França 16.1%

Inglaterra 10.8%

Portugal 10.4%

Polymarket

$1,936,501,455 Vol.

Espanha 16.4%

França 16.1%

Inglaterra 10.8%

Portugal 10.4%

Polymarket

$1,936,501,455 Vol.

icon for Espanha

Espanha

$36,815,121 Vol.

16%

icon for França

França

$43,505,118 Vol.

16%

icon for Inglaterra

Inglaterra

$32,079,011 Vol.

11%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$38,369,678 Vol.

10%

icon for Argentina

Argentina

$34,294,216 Vol.

9%

icon for Brasil

Brasil

$33,630,876 Vol.

8%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$35,315,968 Vol.

5%

icon for Holanda

Holanda

$37,580,495 Vol.

4%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$36,759,423 Vol.

2%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$39,060,783 Vol.

2%

icon for Colômbia

Colômbia

$39,319,012 Vol.

2%

icon for Japão

Japão

$39,604,810 Vol.

2%

icon for Marrocos

Marrocos

$43,488,876 Vol.

2%

icon for México

México

$43,429,086 Vol.

1%

icon for Suíça

Suíça

$38,492,879 Vol.

1%

icon for Turquia

Turquia

$36,720,580 Vol.

1%

icon for EUA

EUA

$55,949,737 Vol.

1%

icon for Uruguai

Uruguai

$39,051,326 Vol.

1%

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$44,631,127 Vol.

1%

icon for Equador

Equador

$44,434,199 Vol.

1%

icon for Senegal

Senegal

$38,434,277 Vol.

1%

icon for Costa do Marfim

Costa do Marfim

$52,273,260 Vol.

<1%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$42,906,688 Vol.

<1%

icon for Canadá

Canadá

$43,862,612 Vol.

<1%

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$29,520,053 Vol.

<1%

icon for Coreia do Sul

Coreia do Sul

$47,965,353 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escócia

Escócia

$42,035,501 Vol.

<1%

icon for Egito

Egito

$50,918,531 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irã

Irã

$44,242,891 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gana

Gana

$36,598,223 Vol.

<1%

icon for Argélia

Argélia

$44,456,990 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bósnia-Herzegovina

Bósnia-Herzegovina

$27,541,206 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paraguai

Paraguai

$41,737,003 Vol.

<1%

icon for RD Congo

RD Congo

$57,432,282 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$27,771,314 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$45,876,590 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nova Zelândia

Nova Zelândia

$45,464,807 Vol.

<1%

icon for Haiti

Haiti

$32,020,191 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordânia

Jordânia

$31,599,892 Vol.

<1%

icon for Curaçao

Curaçao

$41,605,224 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tunísia

Tunísia

$35,503,084 Vol.

<1%

icon for Uzbequistão

Uzbequistão

$59,655,927 Vol.

<1%

icon for Panamá

Panamá

$19,348,383 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iraque

Iraque

$28,864,643 Vol.

<1%

icon for África do Sul

África do Sul

$38,113,045 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Verde

Cabo Verde

$40,166,103 Vol.

<1%

icon for Catar

Catar

$41,893,617 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arábia Saudita

Arábia Saudita

$47,584,315 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France sit atop the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market as narrow co-favorites, reflecting their status as the two deepest squads entering the expanded 48-team tournament. Spain built momentum from its Euro 2024 title and dominant European qualifying campaign, featuring dynamic attacking play and emerging talents. France counters with proven knockout experience from recent World Cup finals and exceptional depth across positions. England follows closely behind, bolstered by consistent major-tournament runs and a balanced roster. The tight clustering among these sides, alongside Argentina and Brazil, stems from comparable squad quality, recent form, and the inherent unpredictability of a long knockout format where any contender can advance or exit early based on matchups and execution.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,936,501,455
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France sit atop the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market as narrow co-favorites, reflecting their status as the two deepest squads entering the expanded 48-team tournament. Spain built momentum from its Euro 2024 title and dominant European qualifying campaign, featuring dynamic attacking play and emerging talents. France counters with proven knockout experience from recent World Cup finals and exceptional depth across positions. England follows closely behind, bolstered by consistent major-tournament runs and a balanced roster. The tight clustering among these sides, alongside Argentina and Brazil, stems from comparable squad quality, recent form, and the inherent unpredictability of a long knockout format where any contender can advance or exit early based on matchups and execution.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,936,501,455
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Espanha" at 16%, followed by "França" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " has generated $1.9 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " is "Espanha" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "França" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.