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Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

icon for Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

Espanha 17.0%

França 16.1%

Portugal 10.9%

Inglaterra 10.8%

Polymarket

$1,951,733,648 Vol.

Espanha 17.0%

França 16.1%

Portugal 10.9%

Inglaterra 10.8%

Polymarket

$1,951,733,648 Vol.

icon for Espanha

Espanha

$37,367,944 Vol.

17%

icon for França

França

$43,894,401 Vol.

16%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$39,086,586 Vol.

11%

icon for Inglaterra

Inglaterra

$32,371,386 Vol.

11%

icon for Argentina

Argentina

$34,690,906 Vol.

9%

icon for Brasil

Brasil

$33,912,661 Vol.

8%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$35,755,935 Vol.

5%

icon for Holanda

Holanda

$38,397,401 Vol.

4%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$37,181,485 Vol.

2%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$40,117,593 Vol.

2%

icon for Colômbia

Colômbia

$39,637,802 Vol.

2%

icon for Japão

Japão

$40,410,113 Vol.

2%

icon for Marrocos

Marrocos

$43,916,801 Vol.

2%

icon for México

México

$44,068,182 Vol.

1%

icon for Suíça

Suíça

$38,912,122 Vol.

1%

icon for Turquia

Turquia

$36,758,483 Vol.

1%

icon for EUA

EUA

$56,377,133 Vol.

1%

icon for Uruguai

Uruguai

$39,319,423 Vol.

1%

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$44,986,687 Vol.

1%

icon for Equador

Equador

$44,779,786 Vol.

1%

icon for Senegal

Senegal

$38,807,905 Vol.

1%

icon for Costa do Marfim

Costa do Marfim

$52,475,414 Vol.

<1%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$43,016,814 Vol.

<1%

icon for Canadá

Canadá

$43,983,731 Vol.

<1%

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$29,684,154 Vol.

<1%

icon for Coreia do Sul

Coreia do Sul

$48,260,940 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escócia

Escócia

$42,207,034 Vol.

<1%

icon for Egito

Egito

$51,105,284 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irã

Irã

$44,460,083 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gana

Gana

$36,818,841 Vol.

<1%

icon for Argélia

Argélia

$44,580,097 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bósnia-Herzegovina

Bósnia-Herzegovina

$27,806,541 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paraguai

Paraguai

$41,940,266 Vol.

<1%

icon for RD Congo

RD Congo

$57,639,957 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$30,932,955 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$46,102,064 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nova Zelândia

Nova Zelândia

$45,479,807 Vol.

<1%

icon for Haiti

Haiti

$32,022,191 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordânia

Jordânia

$31,607,892 Vol.

<1%

icon for Curaçao

Curaçao

$41,628,754 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tunísia

Tunísia

$35,506,384 Vol.

<1%

icon for Uzbequistão

Uzbequistão

$59,656,927 Vol.

<1%

icon for Panamá

Panamá

$19,349,383 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iraque

Iraque

$28,864,643 Vol.

<1%

icon for África do Sul

África do Sul

$38,237,335 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Verde

Cabo Verde

$40,166,103 Vol.

<1%

icon for Catar

Catar

$41,894,617 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arábia Saudita

Arábia Saudita

$47,597,315 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France lead the 2026 World Cup winner market as slight favorites due to superior squad depth, recent international success including Spain’s Euro 2024 title, and elite talent such as Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé, while Portugal, England, Argentina, and Brazil remain tightly grouped behind them on the strength of star power, FIFA rankings proximity, and proven knockout experience. With all qualifiers complete and the expanded 48-team field underway, the bunched pricing reflects comparable paths for these sides through group stages and brackets, where injuries, form peaks, and tactical matchups can rapidly shift outcomes among teams with balanced attacking options and defensive organization.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,951,733,648
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France lead the 2026 World Cup winner market as slight favorites due to superior squad depth, recent international success including Spain’s Euro 2024 title, and elite talent such as Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé, while Portugal, England, Argentina, and Brazil remain tightly grouped behind them on the strength of star power, FIFA rankings proximity, and proven knockout experience. With all qualifiers complete and the expanded 48-team field underway, the bunched pricing reflects comparable paths for these sides through group stages and brackets, where injuries, form peaks, and tactical matchups can rapidly shift outcomes among teams with balanced attacking options and defensive organization.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,951,733,648
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Espanha" at 17%, followed by "França" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " has generated $2 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " is "Espanha" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "França" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.