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Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

icon for Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

Espanha 17.0%

França 16.1%

Portugal 10.9%

Inglaterra 10.8%

Polymarket

$1,952,707,123 Vol.

Espanha 17.0%

França 16.1%

Portugal 10.9%

Inglaterra 10.8%

Polymarket

$1,952,707,123 Vol.

icon for Espanha

Espanha

$37,430,183 Vol.

17%

icon for França

França

$43,901,350 Vol.

16%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$39,102,824 Vol.

11%

icon for Inglaterra

Inglaterra

$32,379,211 Vol.

11%

icon for Argentina

Argentina

$34,711,267 Vol.

9%

icon for Brasil

Brasil

$33,925,145 Vol.

8%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$36,124,883 Vol.

5%

icon for Holanda

Holanda

$38,401,986 Vol.

4%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$37,188,026 Vol.

2%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$40,124,263 Vol.

2%

icon for Colômbia

Colômbia

$40,147,404 Vol.

2%

icon for Japão

Japão

$40,423,622 Vol.

2%

icon for Marrocos

Marrocos

$43,922,928 Vol.

2%

icon for México

México

$44,073,610 Vol.

1%

icon for Suíça

Suíça

$38,924,885 Vol.

1%

icon for Turquia

Turquia

$36,771,722 Vol.

1%

icon for EUA

EUA

$56,382,765 Vol.

1%

icon for Uruguai

Uruguai

$39,325,025 Vol.

1%

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$44,994,778 Vol.

1%

icon for Equador

Equador

$44,786,955 Vol.

1%

icon for Senegal

Senegal

$38,814,433 Vol.

1%

icon for Costa do Marfim

Costa do Marfim

$52,480,112 Vol.

<1%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$43,048,654 Vol.

<1%

icon for Canadá

Canadá

$43,986,054 Vol.

<1%

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$29,690,365 Vol.

<1%

icon for Coreia do Sul

Coreia do Sul

$48,264,508 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escócia

Escócia

$42,209,403 Vol.

<1%

icon for Egito

Egito

$51,112,886 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irã

Irã

$44,466,185 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gana

Gana

$36,825,237 Vol.

<1%

icon for Argélia

Argélia

$44,582,026 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bósnia-Herzegovina

Bósnia-Herzegovina

$27,812,773 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paraguai

Paraguai

$41,941,624 Vol.

<1%

icon for RD Congo

RD Congo

$57,645,561 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$30,935,304 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$46,103,904 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nova Zelândia

Nova Zelândia

$45,484,807 Vol.

<1%

icon for Haiti

Haiti

$32,032,191 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordânia

Jordânia

$31,612,892 Vol.

<1%

icon for Curaçao

Curaçao

$41,633,754 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tunísia

Tunísia

$35,511,384 Vol.

<1%

icon for Uzbequistão

Uzbequistão

$59,661,927 Vol.

<1%

icon for Panamá

Panamá

$19,359,383 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iraque

Iraque

$28,869,643 Vol.

<1%

icon for África do Sul

África do Sul

$38,244,335 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Verde

Cabo Verde

$40,177,103 Vol.

<1%

icon for Catar

Catar

$41,905,617 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arábia Saudita

Arábia Saudita

$47,608,315 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market as narrow leaders because both enter with elite squad depth, recent major-tournament pedigree, and strong qualification records. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and attacking fluency under Luis de la Fuente give them the edge in trader consensus, while France’s unparalleled talent pool and experience as 2018 champions and 2022 finalists keep them within a point. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil follow closely, each boasting proven match-winners, solid recent form, and favorable group paths in the expanded field. This tight clustering stems from the wisdom of crowds recognizing that no single side holds a decisive advantage heading into a grueling knockout stage across North America, where injuries, rest, and momentum shifts can quickly reorder probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,952,707,123
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market as narrow leaders because both enter with elite squad depth, recent major-tournament pedigree, and strong qualification records. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and attacking fluency under Luis de la Fuente give them the edge in trader consensus, while France’s unparalleled talent pool and experience as 2018 champions and 2022 finalists keep them within a point. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil follow closely, each boasting proven match-winners, solid recent form, and favorable group paths in the expanded field. This tight clustering stems from the wisdom of crowds recognizing that no single side holds a decisive advantage heading into a grueling knockout stage across North America, where injuries, rest, and momentum shifts can quickly reorder probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,952,707,123
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Espanha" at 17%, followed by "França" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " has generated $2 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " is "Espanha" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "França" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.