Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market at 16% each because their deep squads, recent strong showings in European qualifiers and friendlies, and balanced attacking options continue to anchor trader consensus. England and Portugal follow at 11% apiece on the strength of experienced cores and favorable group-stage positioning, while Argentina and Brazil trail slightly due to transitional phases despite pedigree. The field remains tightly bunched as no single side has separated decisively in the final pre-tournament window, with multiple contenders sharing comparable depth, recent form, and knockout-stage potential in the expanded 48-team format.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEspanha 16.9%
França 16.1%
Portugal 10.9%
Inglaterra 10.8%
$1,940,218,968 Vol.
$1,940,218,968 Vol.

Espanha
17%

França
16%

Portugal
11%

Inglaterra
11%

Argentina
9%

Brasil
8%

Alemanha
5%

Holanda
4%

Noruega
2%

Bélgica
2%

Colômbia
2%

Japão
2%

Marrocos
2%

México
1%

Suíça
1%

Turquia
1%

EUA
1%

Uruguai
1%

Croácia
1%

Equador
1%

Senegal
1%

Costa do Marfim
<1%

Áustria
<1%

Canadá
<1%

Suécia
<1%

Coreia do Sul
<1%

Escócia
<1%

Egito
<1%

Irã
<1%

Gana
<1%

Argélia
<1%

Bósnia-Herzegovina
<1%

Paraguai
<1%

RD Congo
<1%

Chéquia
<1%

Austrália
<1%

Nova Zelândia
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordânia
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Tunísia
<1%

Uzbequistão
<1%

Panamá
<1%

Iraque
<1%

África do Sul
<1%

Cabo Verde
<1%

Catar
<1%

Arábia Saudita
<1%
Espanha 16.9%
França 16.1%
Portugal 10.9%
Inglaterra 10.8%
$1,940,218,968 Vol.
$1,940,218,968 Vol.

Espanha
17%

França
16%

Portugal
11%

Inglaterra
11%

Argentina
9%

Brasil
8%

Alemanha
5%

Holanda
4%

Noruega
2%

Bélgica
2%

Colômbia
2%

Japão
2%

Marrocos
2%

México
1%

Suíça
1%

Turquia
1%

EUA
1%

Uruguai
1%

Croácia
1%

Equador
1%

Senegal
1%

Costa do Marfim
<1%

Áustria
<1%

Canadá
<1%

Suécia
<1%

Coreia do Sul
<1%

Escócia
<1%

Egito
<1%

Irã
<1%

Gana
<1%

Argélia
<1%

Bósnia-Herzegovina
<1%

Paraguai
<1%

RD Congo
<1%

Chéquia
<1%

Austrália
<1%

Nova Zelândia
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordânia
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Tunísia
<1%

Uzbequistão
<1%

Panamá
<1%

Iraque
<1%

África do Sul
<1%

Cabo Verde
<1%

Catar
<1%

Arábia Saudita
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market at 16% each because their deep squads, recent strong showings in European qualifiers and friendlies, and balanced attacking options continue to anchor trader consensus. England and Portugal follow at 11% apiece on the strength of experienced cores and favorable group-stage positioning, while Argentina and Brazil trail slightly due to transitional phases despite pedigree. The field remains tightly bunched as no single side has separated decisively in the final pre-tournament window, with multiple contenders sharing comparable depth, recent form, and knockout-stage potential in the expanded 48-team format.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions