Skip to main content
icon for Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

icon for Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

Espanha 17.0%

França 16.1%

Inglaterra 10.8%

Portugal 10.8%

Polymarket

$1,948,654,685 Vol.

Espanha 17.0%

França 16.1%

Inglaterra 10.8%

Portugal 10.8%

Polymarket

$1,948,654,685 Vol.

icon for Espanha

Espanha

$37,327,092 Vol.

17%

icon for França

França

$43,754,695 Vol.

16%

icon for Inglaterra

Inglaterra

$32,257,879 Vol.

11%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$39,005,456 Vol.

11%

icon for Argentina

Argentina

$34,597,313 Vol.

9%

icon for Brasil

Brasil

$33,821,910 Vol.

8%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$35,696,344 Vol.

5%

icon for Holanda

Holanda

$38,364,916 Vol.

4%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$36,964,508 Vol.

2%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$39,979,049 Vol.

2%

icon for Colômbia

Colômbia

$39,568,486 Vol.

2%

icon for Japão

Japão

$39,907,795 Vol.

2%

icon for Marrocos

Marrocos

$43,723,128 Vol.

2%

icon for México

México

$43,725,019 Vol.

1%

icon for Suíça

Suíça

$38,553,840 Vol.

1%

icon for Turquia

Turquia

$36,747,047 Vol.

1%

icon for EUA

EUA

$56,332,158 Vol.

1%

icon for Uruguai

Uruguai

$39,252,455 Vol.

1%

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$44,913,140 Vol.

1%

icon for Equador

Equador

$44,705,576 Vol.

1%

icon for Senegal

Senegal

$38,729,551 Vol.

1%

icon for Costa do Marfim

Costa do Marfim

$52,415,828 Vol.

<1%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$42,990,749 Vol.

<1%

icon for Canadá

Canadá

$43,956,734 Vol.

<1%

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$29,617,554 Vol.

<1%

icon for Coreia do Sul

Coreia do Sul

$48,152,752 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escócia

Escócia

$42,186,149 Vol.

<1%

icon for Egito

Egito

$51,032,211 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irã

Irã

$44,389,866 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gana

Gana

$36,742,182 Vol.

<1%

icon for Argélia

Argélia

$44,552,540 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bósnia-Herzegovina

Bósnia-Herzegovina

$27,676,420 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paraguai

Paraguai

$41,920,147 Vol.

<1%

icon for RD Congo

RD Congo

$57,574,727 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$30,891,846 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$45,956,274 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nova Zelândia

Nova Zelândia

$45,479,807 Vol.

<1%

icon for Haiti

Haiti

$32,022,191 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordânia

Jordânia

$31,607,892 Vol.

<1%

icon for Curaçao

Curaçao

$41,628,754 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tunísia

Tunísia

$35,506,384 Vol.

<1%

icon for Uzbequistão

Uzbequistão

$59,656,927 Vol.

<1%

icon for Panamá

Panamá

$19,349,383 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iraque

Iraque

$28,864,643 Vol.

<1%

icon for África do Sul

África do Sul

$38,234,695 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Verde

Cabo Verde

$40,166,103 Vol.

<1%

icon for Catar

Catar

$41,894,617 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arábia Saudita

Arábia Saudita

$47,597,315 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain edges France as the narrowest favorite in the 2026 World Cup market thanks to Euro 2024 success, a balanced squad blending experience with emerging talents like Lamine Yamal and Pedri, and consistent results in recent internationals. France sits close behind with unmatched attacking depth around Kylian Mbappé and strong tournament pedigree in multiple recent finals. England follows as a competitive third option under Thomas Tuchel, backed by squad quality and recent European Championship runs. Argentina, Portugal, and Brazil remain tightly grouped on the strength of defending-champion pedigree, star power, and South American qualifying form, while Germany and the Netherlands add further depth to a crowded European contingent. The bunched probabilities reflect how similar squad strengths, recent major-tournament experience, and the expanded 48-team format keep outcomes highly contested heading into group stage openers.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,948,654,685
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain edges France as the narrowest favorite in the 2026 World Cup market thanks to Euro 2024 success, a balanced squad blending experience with emerging talents like Lamine Yamal and Pedri, and consistent results in recent internationals. France sits close behind with unmatched attacking depth around Kylian Mbappé and strong tournament pedigree in multiple recent finals. England follows as a competitive third option under Thomas Tuchel, backed by squad quality and recent European Championship runs. Argentina, Portugal, and Brazil remain tightly grouped on the strength of defending-champion pedigree, star power, and South American qualifying form, while Germany and the Netherlands add further depth to a crowded European contingent. The bunched probabilities reflect how similar squad strengths, recent major-tournament experience, and the expanded 48-team format keep outcomes highly contested heading into group stage openers.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,948,654,685
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Espanha" at 17%, followed by "França" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " has generated $1.9 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " is "Espanha" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "França" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.