Spain leads the 2026 World Cup winner market after its Euro 2024 triumph under Luis de la Fuente, showcasing dynamic attacking play anchored by talents such as Lamine Yamal. France sits just behind with the deepest squad depth and current top FIFA ranking, while England’s consistent recent major-tournament runs keep it competitive. Argentina and Brazil retain strong backing from pedigree and South American qualification form. The expanded 48-team field and closely matched European contenders produce bunched probabilities, reflecting uncertainty around squad fitness, group-stage matchups, and the potential for upsets in the knockout rounds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEspanha 17.0%
França 16.1%
Inglaterra 10.8%
Portugal 10.8%
$1,970,293,575 Vol.
$1,970,293,575 Vol.

Espanha
17%

França
16%

Inglaterra
11%

Portugal
11%

Argentina
9%

Brasil
9%

Alemanha
5%

Holanda
4%

Noruega
2%

Bélgica
2%

Colômbia
2%

Japão
2%

Marrocos
2%

México
1%

Suíça
1%

EUA
1%

Turquia
1%

Uruguai
1%

Equador
1%

Croácia
1%

Senegal
1%

Costa do Marfim
<1%

Áustria
<1%

Canadá
<1%

Suécia
<1%

Coreia do Sul
<1%

Escócia
<1%

Egito
<1%

Irã
<1%

Gana
<1%

Argélia
<1%

Bósnia-Herzegovina
<1%

Paraguai
<1%

RD Congo
<1%

Chéquia
<1%

Austrália
<1%

Nova Zelândia
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordânia
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Tunísia
<1%

Uzbequistão
<1%

Panamá
<1%

Iraque
<1%

África do Sul
<1%

Cabo Verde
<1%

Catar
<1%

Arábia Saudita
<1%
Espanha 17.0%
França 16.1%
Inglaterra 10.8%
Portugal 10.8%
$1,970,293,575 Vol.
$1,970,293,575 Vol.

Espanha
17%

França
16%

Inglaterra
11%

Portugal
11%

Argentina
9%

Brasil
9%

Alemanha
5%

Holanda
4%

Noruega
2%

Bélgica
2%

Colômbia
2%

Japão
2%

Marrocos
2%

México
1%

Suíça
1%

EUA
1%

Turquia
1%

Uruguai
1%

Equador
1%

Croácia
1%

Senegal
1%

Costa do Marfim
<1%

Áustria
<1%

Canadá
<1%

Suécia
<1%

Coreia do Sul
<1%

Escócia
<1%

Egito
<1%

Irã
<1%

Gana
<1%

Argélia
<1%

Bósnia-Herzegovina
<1%

Paraguai
<1%

RD Congo
<1%

Chéquia
<1%

Austrália
<1%

Nova Zelândia
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordânia
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Tunísia
<1%

Uzbequistão
<1%

Panamá
<1%

Iraque
<1%

África do Sul
<1%

Cabo Verde
<1%

Catar
<1%

Arábia Saudita
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain leads the 2026 World Cup winner market after its Euro 2024 triumph under Luis de la Fuente, showcasing dynamic attacking play anchored by talents such as Lamine Yamal. France sits just behind with the deepest squad depth and current top FIFA ranking, while England’s consistent recent major-tournament runs keep it competitive. Argentina and Brazil retain strong backing from pedigree and South American qualification form. The expanded 48-team field and closely matched European contenders produce bunched probabilities, reflecting uncertainty around squad fitness, group-stage matchups, and the potential for upsets in the knockout rounds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions