Oklahoma City Thunder enter the Western Conference Finals as defending champions and the clear market leader, buoyed by an undefeated 8-0 playoff run featuring dominant wins over the Suns and Lakers. Their depth, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s MVP-caliber play, and experience position them as the favorite against the San Antonio Spurs, whose Victor Wembanyama-led core has surged through the bracket with strong contributions from Stephon Castle. The New York Knicks have climbed to third in the implied probability after advancing deep in the East, reflecting their recent momentum and roster balance. Detroit Pistons and Cleveland Cavaliers remain longer shots, trailing in the Eastern Conference semifinals amid tougher paths to the title.