The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills features a tightly bunched second-round leader market because the demanding layout and typical USGA setup limit low scoring and reward consistent ball-striking over any single player’s recent form. With the tournament beginning June 18 and no rounds completed, trader consensus reflects broad field parity across dozens of contenders, as course knowledge from prior visits, current ball-striking metrics, and historical major performance on similar venues keep implied probabilities clustered in the 25–45% range for established names while leaving room for mid-tier players. Weather and pin placements remain key variables that can shift momentum after 36 holes without producing a dominant early leader.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоJoaquin Niemann 88%
Jake Knapp 74%
Shane Lowry 72%
Daniel Berger 72%
Joaquin Niemann
88%
Jake Knapp
74%
Shane Lowry
72%
Daniel Berger
72%
Dustin Johnson
71%
Carlos Ortiz
70%
Adam Scott
70%
Jason Day
67%
Gary Woodland
66%
Michael Kim
65%
Jordan Spieth
61%
Cameron Smith
52%
Lucas Herbert
40%
Si Woo Kim
35%
J.J. Spaun
33%
Justin Thomas
33%
Bryson DeChambeau
33%
Bud Cauley
33%
Russell Henley
32%
Jacob Bridgeman
32%
Scottie Scheffler
32%
Robert MacIntyre
32%
Xander Schauffele
32%
Cameron Young
31%
Akshay Bhatia
31%
Viktor Hovland
31%
Matt Fitzpatrick
31%
Collin Morikawa
31%
Tommy Fleetwood
30%
Kurt Kitayama
30%
Patrick Cantlay
30%
Chris Gotterup
30%
Alex Smalley
30%
Min Woo Lee
30%
Ludvig Åberg
28%
Harris English
28%
Nicolai Højgaard
28%
Ben Griffin
27%
J.T. Poston
27%
Rory McIlroy
26%
Wyndham Clark
26%
Alex Noren
25%
Tyrrell Hatton
25%
Sepp Straka
25%
Kristoffer Reitan
22%
Aaron Rai
19%
Rickie Fowler
18%
Sam Burns
18%
Ryan Gerard
15%
Keegan Bradley
12%
Patrick Reed
8%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
David Puig
1%
Justin Rose
35%
Laurie Canter
-
Jon Rahm
32%
Joaquin Niemann 88%
Jake Knapp 74%
Shane Lowry 72%
Daniel Berger 72%
Joaquin Niemann
88%
Jake Knapp
74%
Shane Lowry
72%
Daniel Berger
72%
Dustin Johnson
71%
Carlos Ortiz
70%
Adam Scott
70%
Jason Day
67%
Gary Woodland
66%
Michael Kim
65%
Jordan Spieth
61%
Cameron Smith
52%
Lucas Herbert
40%
Si Woo Kim
35%
J.J. Spaun
33%
Justin Thomas
33%
Bryson DeChambeau
33%
Bud Cauley
33%
Russell Henley
32%
Jacob Bridgeman
32%
Scottie Scheffler
32%
Robert MacIntyre
32%
Xander Schauffele
32%
Cameron Young
31%
Akshay Bhatia
31%
Viktor Hovland
31%
Matt Fitzpatrick
31%
Collin Morikawa
31%
Tommy Fleetwood
30%
Kurt Kitayama
30%
Patrick Cantlay
30%
Chris Gotterup
30%
Alex Smalley
30%
Min Woo Lee
30%
Ludvig Åberg
28%
Harris English
28%
Nicolai Højgaard
28%
Ben Griffin
27%
J.T. Poston
27%
Rory McIlroy
26%
Wyndham Clark
26%
Alex Noren
25%
Tyrrell Hatton
25%
Sepp Straka
25%
Kristoffer Reitan
22%
Aaron Rai
19%
Rickie Fowler
18%
Sam Burns
18%
Ryan Gerard
15%
Keegan Bradley
12%
Patrick Reed
8%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
David Puig
1%
Justin Rose
35%
Laurie Canter
-
Jon Rahm
32%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Открытие рынка: Jun 16, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills features a tightly bunched second-round leader market because the demanding layout and typical USGA setup limit low scoring and reward consistent ball-striking over any single player’s recent form. With the tournament beginning June 18 and no rounds completed, trader consensus reflects broad field parity across dozens of contenders, as course knowledge from prior visits, current ball-striking metrics, and historical major performance on similar venues keep implied probabilities clustered in the 25–45% range for established names while leaving room for mid-tier players. Weather and pin placements remain key variables that can shift momentum after 36 holes without producing a dominant early leader.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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