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icon for Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?

Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?

icon for Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?

Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?

$76,231 Объем

30 сент. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$76,231 Объем

Polymarket

30 сентября

$23,950 Объем

1%

31 декабря

$14,883 Объем

11%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Abbas Araghchi continues to serve as Iran's Foreign Minister amid internal leadership tensions and active regional diplomacy.** Reports from early August 2026 indicated President Masoud Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sought his removal over alleged coordination with Revolutionary Guard figures, reflecting broader power struggles within the administration during wartime pressures and sanctions enforcement. Despite these claims, Araghchi has remained in post, conducting high-level engagements including a September 2026 visit to China, phone discussions with counterparts in Pakistan and elsewhere, and arrival in New York for the UN General Assembly. Cabinet stability hinges on Supreme National Security Council dynamics, supreme leader directives, and outcomes of ongoing talks on maritime security, sanctions relief, and conflict de-escalation. Any near-term change would likely stem from formal presidential or parliamentary action rather than spontaneous events.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$76,231
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Abbas Araghchi continues to serve as Iran's Foreign Minister amid internal leadership tensions and active regional diplomacy.** Reports from early August 2026 indicated President Masoud Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sought his removal over alleged coordination with Revolutionary Guard figures, reflecting broader power struggles within the administration during wartime pressures and sanctions enforcement. Despite these claims, Araghchi has remained in post, conducting high-level engagements including a September 2026 visit to China, phone discussions with counterparts in Pakistan and elsewhere, and arrival in New York for the UN General Assembly. Cabinet stability hinges on Supreme National Security Council dynamics, supreme leader directives, and outcomes of ongoing talks on maritime security, sanctions relief, and conflict de-escalation. Any near-term change would likely stem from formal presidential or parliamentary action rather than spontaneous events.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$76,231
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря» с 11%, за ним следует «30 сентября» с 1%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 11¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 11%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $76.2K с момента запуска рынка Jul 9, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?» — «31 декабря» с 11%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 11%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30 сентября» с 1%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.