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Геополитика·Иран

Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?

icon for Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?
Геополитика·Иран

Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?

НОВОЕ
31 июл. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$45 Объем

Polymarket

31 июля

$45 Объем

6%

30 сентября

$0 Объем

34%

31 декабря

$0 Объем

29%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Abbas Araghchi remains Iran’s foreign minister as of July 2026, having held the post since his August 2024 appointment under President Masoud Pezeshkian.** Reports from April 2026 indicated that Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sought his removal over allegations he coordinated nuclear talks directly with Revolutionary Guard commanders, bypassing elected officials. Araghchi has stayed active through June, issuing statements on U.S.-Iran ceasefire extensions, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and an MoU covering sanctions relief and nuclear negotiations. Mid-June hardline protests in cities including Mashhad called for his resignation, accusing him of excessive concessions. These events highlight ongoing tensions between reformist cabinet priorities and hardline security apparatus influence during post-conflict diplomacy, with no confirmed dismissal by early July.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$45
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Abbas Araghchi remains Iran’s foreign minister as of July 2026, having held the post since his August 2024 appointment under President Masoud Pezeshkian.** Reports from April 2026 indicated that Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sought his removal over allegations he coordinated nuclear talks directly with Revolutionary Guard commanders, bypassing elected officials. Araghchi has stayed active through June, issuing statements on U.S.-Iran ceasefire extensions, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and an MoU covering sanctions relief and nuclear negotiations. Mid-June hardline protests in cities including Mashhad called for his resignation, accusing him of excessive concessions. These events highlight ongoing tensions between reformist cabinet priorities and hardline security apparatus influence during post-conflict diplomacy, with no confirmed dismissal by early July.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$45
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «30 сентября» с 34%, за ним следует «31 декабря» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 34¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 34%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 9, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?» — «30 сентября» с 34%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 34%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31 декабря» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.