Amazon's market cap, currently hovering near $3 trillion following its post-Q2 surge, reflects trader focus on AWS revenue accelerating to 37% year-over-year—the fastest pace in 18 quarters—on surging AI demand that pushed quarterly sales to $200.6 billion and operating income up 43%. Elevated capital expenditures now projected at $220 billion, alongside free cash flow pressures from infrastructure buildout, introduce uncertainty around sustained profitability and valuation multiples through year-end. With outcomes clustered tightly between $2.5–3.5 trillion, market-implied odds capture the balance between AWS momentum and broader risks from interest rates, competition, and macroeconomic data releases still ahead.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$3,00–$3,50 трлн 37%
$3,50–$4,00 трлн 27%
<$2,00 трлн 26%
$2,00–$2,50 трлн 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
<$2,00 трлн
26%
$2,00–$2,50 трлн
26%
$2,50–$3,00 трлн
26%
$3,00–$3,50 трлн
37%
$3,50–$4,00 трлн
27%
4,00–4,50 трлн долларов
23%
$4,50T+
23%
$3,00–$3,50 трлн 37%
$3,50–$4,00 трлн 27%
<$2,00 трлн 26%
$2,00–$2,50 трлн 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
<$2,00 трлн
$0 Объем
26%
$2,00–$2,50 трлн
$0 Объем
26%
$2,50–$3,00 трлн
$0 Объем
26%
$3,00–$3,50 трлн
$0 Объем
37%
$3,50–$4,00 трлн
$0 Объем
27%
4,00–4,50 трлн долларов
$0 Объем
23%
$4,50T+
$0 Объем
23%
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Amazon's market cap, currently hovering near $3 trillion following its post-Q2 surge, reflects trader focus on AWS revenue accelerating to 37% year-over-year—the fastest pace in 18 quarters—on surging AI demand that pushed quarterly sales to $200.6 billion and operating income up 43%. Elevated capital expenditures now projected at $220 billion, alongside free cash flow pressures from infrastructure buildout, introduce uncertainty around sustained profitability and valuation multiples through year-end. With outcomes clustered tightly between $2.5–3.5 trillion, market-implied odds capture the balance between AWS momentum and broader risks from interest rates, competition, and macroeconomic data releases still ahead.
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Amazon's market cap, currently hovering near $3 trillion following its post-Q2 surge, reflects trader focus on AWS revenue accelerating to 37% year-over-year—the fastest pace in 18 quarters—on surging AI demand that pushed quarterly sales to $200.6 billion and operating income up 43%. Elevated capital expenditures now projected at $220 billion, alongside free cash flow pressures from infrastructure buildout, introduce uncertainty around sustained profitability and valuation multiples through year-end. With outcomes clustered tightly between $2.5–3.5 trillion, market-implied odds capture the balance between AWS momentum and broader risks from interest rates, competition, and macroeconomic data releases still ahead.
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Amazon's market cap, currently hovering near $3 trillion following its post-Q2 surge, reflects trader focus on AWS revenue accelerating to 37% year-over-year—the fastest pace in 18 quarters—on surging AI demand that pushed quarterly sales to $200.6 billion and operating income up 43%. Elevated capital expenditures now projected at $220 billion, alongside free cash flow pressures from infrastructure buildout, introduce uncertainty around sustained profitability and valuation multiples through year-end. With outcomes clustered tightly between $2.5–3.5 trillion, market-implied odds capture the balance between AWS momentum and broader risks from interest rates, competition, and macroeconomic data releases still ahead.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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