Apple's closely matched market-implied odds between the $4.00–4.50T and $4.50–5.00T bins reflect trader uncertainty over whether recent AI momentum can sustain premium valuations amid mixed earnings guidance. June's WWDC 2026 showcased next-generation Apple Intelligence and a more capable Siri AI assistant with agentic features, prompting analysts to raise price targets and cite potential multiple expansion as the company integrates large language models across iOS, hardware, and services. Competitive pressures from other AI platforms, recent quarterly guidance shortfalls, and ongoing regulatory scrutiny create counterbalancing risks, while upcoming product cycles and developer adoption of on-device AI capabilities remain key swing factors for end-of-2026 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено4,00–4,50 трлн $ 44%
$4,50–$5,00 трлн 43%
< $3,50 трлн 25%
$3,50–$4,00 трлн 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $3,50 трлн
25%
$3,50–$4,00 трлн
25%
4,00–4,50 трлн $
44%
$4,50–$5,00 трлн
43%
$5,00–$5,50 трлн
25%
$5,50–$6,00 трлн
24%
$6,00 трлн+
24%
4,00–4,50 трлн $ 44%
$4,50–$5,00 трлн 43%
< $3,50 трлн 25%
$3,50–$4,00 трлн 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $3,50 трлн
$2 Объем
25%
$3,50–$4,00 трлн
$0 Объем
25%
4,00–4,50 трлн $
$0 Объем
44%
$4,50–$5,00 трлн
$0 Объем
43%
$5,00–$5,50 трлн
$0 Объем
25%
$5,50–$6,00 трлн
$0 Объем
24%
$6,00 трлн+
$0 Объем
24%
This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Apple's closely matched market-implied odds between the $4.00–4.50T and $4.50–5.00T bins reflect trader uncertainty over whether recent AI momentum can sustain premium valuations amid mixed earnings guidance. June's WWDC 2026 showcased next-generation Apple Intelligence and a more capable Siri AI assistant with agentic features, prompting analysts to raise price targets and cite potential multiple expansion as the company integrates large language models across iOS, hardware, and services. Competitive pressures from other AI platforms, recent quarterly guidance shortfalls, and ongoing regulatory scrutiny create counterbalancing risks, while upcoming product cycles and developer adoption of on-device AI capabilities remain key swing factors for end-of-2026 resolution.
This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ET
Объем
$2Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Apple's closely matched market-implied odds between the $4.00–4.50T and $4.50–5.00T bins reflect trader uncertainty over whether recent AI momentum can sustain premium valuations amid mixed earnings guidance. June's WWDC 2026 showcased next-generation Apple Intelligence and a more capable Siri AI assistant with agentic features, prompting analysts to raise price targets and cite potential multiple expansion as the company integrates large language models across iOS, hardware, and services. Competitive pressures from other AI platforms, recent quarterly guidance shortfalls, and ongoing regulatory scrutiny create counterbalancing risks, while upcoming product cycles and developer adoption of on-device AI capabilities remain key swing factors for end-of-2026 resolution.
This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Объем
$2Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Apple's closely matched market-implied odds between the $4.00–4.50T and $4.50–5.00T bins reflect trader uncertainty over whether recent AI momentum can sustain premium valuations amid mixed earnings guidance. June's WWDC 2026 showcased next-generation Apple Intelligence and a more capable Siri AI assistant with agentic features, prompting analysts to raise price targets and cite potential multiple expansion as the company integrates large language models across iOS, hardware, and services. Competitive pressures from other AI platforms, recent quarterly guidance shortfalls, and ongoing regulatory scrutiny create counterbalancing risks, while upcoming product cycles and developer adoption of on-device AI capabilities remain key swing factors for end-of-2026 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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