Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоBallon d'Or Winner 2026
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane 23.9%
Ousmane Dembélé 17.1%
Kylian Mbappé 15%
Lionel Messi 13.9%
$4,678,756 Объем
$4,678,756 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
Harry Kane
24%
Ousmane Dembélé
17%
Kylian Mbappé
15%
Lionel Messi
14%
Lamine Yamal
9%
Michael Olise
7%
Vitinha
5%
Declan Rice
3%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Pedri
1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Harry Kane 23.9%
Ousmane Dembélé 17.1%
Kylian Mbappé 15%
Lionel Messi 13.9%
$4,678,756 Объем
$4,678,756 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
Harry Kane
$765,549 Объем
24%
Ousmane Dembélé
$593,404 Объем
17%
Kylian Mbappé
$180,554 Объем
15%
Lionel Messi
$44,171 Объем
14%
Lamine Yamal
$105,454 Объем
9%
Michael Olise
$112,542 Объем
7%
Vitinha
$81,852 Объем
5%
Declan Rice
$84,931 Объем
3%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$90,774 Объем
2%
Vinícius Júnior
$487,933 Объем
2%
Erling Haaland
$297,938 Объем
2%
Lautaro Martinez
$55,861 Объем
1%
Luis Diaz
$54,089 Объем
1%
Achraf Hakimi
$40,472 Объем
1%
Pedri
$299,702 Объем
1%
Bruno Fernandes
$60,970 Объем
<1%
Julian Alvarez
$55,751 Объем
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$89,941 Объем
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$287,693 Объем
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$421,301 Объем
<1%
Cole Palmer
$203,864 Объем
<1%
Raphinha
$71,599 Объем
<1%
Desire Doue
$45,520 Объем
<1%
Federico Valverde
$47,526 Объем
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$99,364 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Объем
$4,678,756Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Объем
$4,678,756Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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