The 2026 FIFA World Cup's expanded 48-team format and bracket design position elite UEFA sides like Spain, France, and England favorably, with Spain and Argentina drawn into opposite semifinal pathways and France-England similarly separated to delay potential clashes until late stages. Spain's Euro 2024 triumph and youthful depth anchor trader consensus around their implied probability, while France relies on experienced coaching and attacking firepower. Argentina's defending champions status and Lionel Messi's likely swan song add momentum, though CONMEBOL teams face tougher group-stage tests overall. Recent friendlies and Nations League results have reinforced these hierarchies without major injury disruptions yet, leaving squad fitness, group qualification paths, and knockout resilience as the decisive variables heading into the June 11 opener.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧемпионат мира: Нация выйдет в финал
$332,982 Объем
Spain
29%
France
29%
England
24%
Portugal
21%
Brazil
20%
Argentina
19%
Germany
13%
Netherlands
10%
Norway
8%
Belgium
7%
Colombia
6%
Morocco
6%
Mexico
6%
Japan
6%
USA
5%
Ghana
5%
South Korea
4%
Uruguay
4%
Scotland
4%
Saudi Arabia
4%
Switzerland
4%
Ecuador
4%
Senegal
4%
Turkiye
3%
Croatia
3%
Czechia
3%
Austria
3%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2%
Sweden
2%
New Zealand
2%
Ivory Coast
2%
Paraguay
2%
Algeria
2%
Iran
1%
South Africa
1%
Canada
1%
DR Congo
1%
Uzbekistan
1%
Australia
1%
Tunisia
1%
Egypt
1%
Cape Verde
1%
Curacao
1%
Qatar
1%
Iraq
1%
Jordan
1%
Panama
<1%
Haiti
<1%
$332,982 Объем
Spain
29%
France
29%
England
24%
Portugal
21%
Brazil
20%
Argentina
19%
Germany
13%
Netherlands
10%
Norway
8%
Belgium
7%
Colombia
6%
Morocco
6%
Mexico
6%
Japan
6%
USA
5%
Ghana
5%
South Korea
4%
Uruguay
4%
Scotland
4%
Saudi Arabia
4%
Switzerland
4%
Ecuador
4%
Senegal
4%
Turkiye
3%
Croatia
3%
Czechia
3%
Austria
3%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2%
Sweden
2%
New Zealand
2%
Ivory Coast
2%
Paraguay
2%
Algeria
2%
Iran
1%
South Africa
1%
Canada
1%
DR Congo
1%
Uzbekistan
1%
Australia
1%
Tunisia
1%
Egypt
1%
Cape Verde
1%
Curacao
1%
Qatar
1%
Iraq
1%
Jordan
1%
Panama
<1%
Haiti
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 FIFA World Cup's expanded 48-team format and bracket design position elite UEFA sides like Spain, France, and England favorably, with Spain and Argentina drawn into opposite semifinal pathways and France-England similarly separated to delay potential clashes until late stages. Spain's Euro 2024 triumph and youthful depth anchor trader consensus around their implied probability, while France relies on experienced coaching and attacking firepower. Argentina's defending champions status and Lionel Messi's likely swan song add momentum, though CONMEBOL teams face tougher group-stage tests overall. Recent friendlies and Nations League results have reinforced these hierarchies without major injury disruptions yet, leaving squad fitness, group qualification paths, and knockout resilience as the decisive variables heading into the June 11 opener.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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