Cristiano Ronaldo enters the 2026 World Cup at age 41 with strong recent goalscoring form for Al Nassr and Portugal, yet the 87.5% implied probability he fails to score directly from a free kick reflects limited realistic opportunities. Portugal faces elite defenses that organize tight walls and press set pieces aggressively, while Bruno Fernandes often shares or takes primary free-kick duties. Ronaldo’s historical direct free-kick conversion rate hovers near 5-6% across his career, and World Cup samples remain small, with just one prior direct goal in five prior tournaments. Short tournament duration and Portugal’s expected path further constrain attempts, though any extended run could create variance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧемпионат мира: Роналду забьет штрафной?
A direct free kick goal is one scored directly from the free kick and officially credited to Cristiano Ronaldo by FIFA. A goal that deflects off the wall or a defender and still enters the net counts, provided FIFA credits the goal to Ronaldo. A free kick first touched by a teammate does not count. Penalty kicks and penalty shootout goals do not count.
If Cristiano Ronaldo does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Ronaldo scored a direct free kick goal within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 8, 2026, 11:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A direct free kick goal is one scored directly from the free kick and officially credited to Cristiano Ronaldo by FIFA. A goal that deflects off the wall or a defender and still enters the net counts, provided FIFA credits the goal to Ronaldo. A free kick first touched by a teammate does not count. Penalty kicks and penalty shootout goals do not count.
If Cristiano Ronaldo does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Ronaldo scored a direct free kick goal within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Cristiano Ronaldo enters the 2026 World Cup at age 41 with strong recent goalscoring form for Al Nassr and Portugal, yet the 87.5% implied probability he fails to score directly from a free kick reflects limited realistic opportunities. Portugal faces elite defenses that organize tight walls and press set pieces aggressively, while Bruno Fernandes often shares or takes primary free-kick duties. Ronaldo’s historical direct free-kick conversion rate hovers near 5-6% across his career, and World Cup samples remain small, with just one prior direct goal in five prior tournaments. Short tournament duration and Portugal’s expected path further constrain attempts, though any extended run could create variance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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