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icon for World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

icon for World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

Lamine Yamal 14%

Kylian Mbappé 11%

Michael Olise 11%

Harry Kane 8%

Polymarket

$122,049 Объем

Lamine Yamal 14%

Kylian Mbappé 11%

Michael Olise 11%

Harry Kane 8%

Polymarket

$122,049 Объем

Lamine Yamal

$9,081 Объем

14%

Kylian Mbappé

$20,025 Объем

11%

Michael Olise

$9,062 Объем

11%

Harry Kane

$9,599 Объем

8%

Vinícius Jr.

$4,934 Объем

7%

Lionel Messi

$4,081 Объем

7%

Pedri

$2,065 Объем

6%

Bruno Fernandes

$6,418 Объем

5%

Ousmane Dembélé

$5,042 Объем

4%

Vitinha

$6,611 Объем

4%

Jude Bellingham

$1,748 Объем

3%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$10,773 Объем

3%

Florian Wirtz

$7,154 Объем

2%

Erling Haaland

$6,384 Объем

2%

Declan Rice

$1,607 Объем

2%

Rodri

$3,887 Объем

2%

Rayan Cherki

$3,602 Объем

2%

Bukayo Saka

$2,028 Объем

1%

Neymar

$6,167 Объем

<1%

Gavi

$2,079 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early stages of the 2026 World Cup have left the Golden Ball market tightly bunched, with trader consensus reflecting broad parity among attacking talents from strong squads. Lamine Yamal leads at 13.5% implied probability on the strength of his recent La Liga dominance and Spain's attacking depth, while Kylian Mbappé and Michael Olise sit close behind at 11% each on the back of France's experience and club form. Harry Kane, Vinícius Júnior, Lionel Messi, and others trail in the 2-8% range, underscoring how national team pathways, head-to-head matchups in group play, and historical tournament impact keep multiple candidates viable. With 48 teams competing and no dominant early performer separating from the pack, the race remains fluid until knockout rounds clarify standout contributions.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$122,049
Дата окончания
20 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early stages of the 2026 World Cup have left the Golden Ball market tightly bunched, with trader consensus reflecting broad parity among attacking talents from strong squads. Lamine Yamal leads at 13.5% implied probability on the strength of his recent La Liga dominance and Spain's attacking depth, while Kylian Mbappé and Michael Olise sit close behind at 11% each on the back of France's experience and club form. Harry Kane, Vinícius Júnior, Lionel Messi, and others trail in the 2-8% range, underscoring how national team pathways, head-to-head matchups in group play, and historical tournament impact keep multiple candidates viable. With 48 teams competing and no dominant early performer separating from the pack, the race remains fluid until knockout rounds clarify standout contributions.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$122,049
Дата окончания
20 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«World Cup: Golden Ball Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 20 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Lamine Yamal» с 14%, за ним следует «Kylian Mbappé» с 11%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 14¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 14%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «World Cup: Golden Ball Winner» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $122K с момента запуска рынка Jun 3, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «World Cup: Golden Ball Winner», просмотри 20 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «World Cup: Golden Ball Winner» — «Lamine Yamal» с 14%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 14%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Kylian Mbappé» с 11%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «World Cup: Golden Ball Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.