Recent surges in energy prices tied to the Middle East conflict have pushed Canada’s headline CPI to 2.4% in March 2026, with the Bank of Canada now projecting a 2.3% annual average for the full year after revising its January forecast higher. Traders are weighing whether these temporary oil-driven pressures will fade or compound through tariff pass-through and a weaker Canadian dollar, creating closely matched implied probabilities across the 2.5–2.9% and 4.0%+ bands. The central bank’s decision to hold the policy rate at 2.25% in late April, while signaling it will look through near-term volatility, reinforces uncertainty about whether core measures stay anchored near 2% or accelerate if wage and price-setting behavior shifts. Upcoming monthly CPI releases and any escalation in trade tensions remain the key swing factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГодовая инфляция в Канаде в 2026 году
Годовая инфляция в Канаде в 2026 году
2,5–2,9% 48.5%
3,5-3,9% 36.1%
2,0–2,4% 20.0%
1,0–1,4% 1.2%
$16,408 Объем
$16,408 Объем
18 янв. 2027 г.
<1,0%
1%
1,0–1,4%
6%
1,5–1,9%
35%
2,0–2,4%
20%
2,5–2,9%
48%
3,0–3,4%
39%
3,5-3,9%
36%
4,0%+
39%
2,5–2,9% 48.5%
3,5-3,9% 36.1%
2,0–2,4% 20.0%
1,0–1,4% 1.2%
$16,408 Объем
$16,408 Объем
18 янв. 2027 г.
<1,0%
$318 Объем
1%
1,0–1,4%
$355 Объем
6%
1,5–1,9%
$656 Объем
35%
2,0–2,4%
$468 Объем
20%
2,5–2,9%
$502 Объем
48%
3,0–3,4%
$13,465 Объем
39%
3,5-3,9%
$287 Объем
36%
4,0%+
$357 Объем
39%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent surges in energy prices tied to the Middle East conflict have pushed Canada’s headline CPI to 2.4% in March 2026, with the Bank of Canada now projecting a 2.3% annual average for the full year after revising its January forecast higher. Traders are weighing whether these temporary oil-driven pressures will fade or compound through tariff pass-through and a weaker Canadian dollar, creating closely matched implied probabilities across the 2.5–2.9% and 4.0%+ bands. The central bank’s decision to hold the policy rate at 2.25% in late April, while signaling it will look through near-term volatility, reinforces uncertainty about whether core measures stay anchored near 2% or accelerate if wage and price-setting behavior shifts. Upcoming monthly CPI releases and any escalation in trade tensions remain the key swing factors.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Объем
$16,408Дата окончания
18 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent surges in energy prices tied to the Middle East conflict have pushed Canada’s headline CPI to 2.4% in March 2026, with the Bank of Canada now projecting a 2.3% annual average for the full year after revising its January forecast higher. Traders are weighing whether these temporary oil-driven pressures will fade or compound through tariff pass-through and a weaker Canadian dollar, creating closely matched implied probabilities across the 2.5–2.9% and 4.0%+ bands. The central bank’s decision to hold the policy rate at 2.25% in late April, while signaling it will look through near-term volatility, reinforces uncertainty about whether core measures stay anchored near 2% or accelerate if wage and price-setting behavior shifts. Upcoming monthly CPI releases and any escalation in trade tensions remain the key swing factors.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Объем
$16,408Дата окончания
18 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent surges in energy prices tied to the Middle East conflict have pushed Canada’s headline CPI to 2.4% in March 2026, with the Bank of Canada now projecting a 2.3% annual average for the full year after revising its January forecast higher. Traders are weighing whether these temporary oil-driven pressures will fade or compound through tariff pass-through and a weaker Canadian dollar, creating closely matched implied probabilities across the 2.5–2.9% and 4.0%+ bands. The central bank’s decision to hold the policy rate at 2.25% in late April, while signaling it will look through near-term volatility, reinforces uncertainty about whether core measures stay anchored near 2% or accelerate if wage and price-setting behavior shifts. Upcoming monthly CPI releases and any escalation in trade tensions remain the key swing factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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