Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.4% implied probability for Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation falling in the 2.5–2.9% range, aligning closely with the Bank of Canada's upgraded April forecast of a 2.3% average amid recent energy price pressures. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.4% year-over-year from 1.8% in February, driven by a 21% gasoline surge tied to Middle East tensions and Iran-related oil disruptions, while the BoC held its policy rate steady at 2.25% on April 29, citing balanced risks. The 38.8% odds on 1.5–1.9% reflect expectations of disinflation resuming if oil stabilizes, though US tariffs pose upside risks to the 29.6% priced for 4.0%+. April CPI data, due May 19, represents the next key catalyst ahead of the June 10 rate decision.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГодовая инфляция в Канаде в 2026 году
Годовая инфляция в Канаде в 2026 году
2,5–2,9% 46.9%
3,5-3,9% 23.4%
3,0–3,4% 20.4%
2,0–2,4% 20.0%
$16,408 Объем
$16,408 Объем
18 янв. 2027 г.
<1,0%
1%
1,0–1,4%
6%
1,5–1,9%
43%
2,0–2,4%
20%
2,5–2,9%
52%
3,0–3,4%
20%
3,5-3,9%
23%
4,0%+
36%
2,5–2,9% 46.9%
3,5-3,9% 23.4%
3,0–3,4% 20.4%
2,0–2,4% 20.0%
$16,408 Объем
$16,408 Объем
18 янв. 2027 г.
<1,0%
$318 Объем
1%
1,0–1,4%
$355 Объем
6%
1,5–1,9%
$656 Объем
43%
2,0–2,4%
$468 Объем
20%
2,5–2,9%
$502 Объем
52%
3,0–3,4%
$13,465 Объем
20%
3,5-3,9%
$287 Объем
23%
4,0%+
$357 Объем
36%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.4% implied probability for Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation falling in the 2.5–2.9% range, aligning closely with the Bank of Canada's upgraded April forecast of a 2.3% average amid recent energy price pressures. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.4% year-over-year from 1.8% in February, driven by a 21% gasoline surge tied to Middle East tensions and Iran-related oil disruptions, while the BoC held its policy rate steady at 2.25% on April 29, citing balanced risks. The 38.8% odds on 1.5–1.9% reflect expectations of disinflation resuming if oil stabilizes, though US tariffs pose upside risks to the 29.6% priced for 4.0%+. April CPI data, due May 19, represents the next key catalyst ahead of the June 10 rate decision.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Объем
$16,408Дата окончания
18 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.4% implied probability for Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation falling in the 2.5–2.9% range, aligning closely with the Bank of Canada's upgraded April forecast of a 2.3% average amid recent energy price pressures. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.4% year-over-year from 1.8% in February, driven by a 21% gasoline surge tied to Middle East tensions and Iran-related oil disruptions, while the BoC held its policy rate steady at 2.25% on April 29, citing balanced risks. The 38.8% odds on 1.5–1.9% reflect expectations of disinflation resuming if oil stabilizes, though US tariffs pose upside risks to the 29.6% priced for 4.0%+. April CPI data, due May 19, represents the next key catalyst ahead of the June 10 rate decision.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Объем
$16,408Дата окончания
18 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.4% implied probability for Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation falling in the 2.5–2.9% range, aligning closely with the Bank of Canada's upgraded April forecast of a 2.3% average amid recent energy price pressures. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.4% year-over-year from 1.8% in February, driven by a 21% gasoline surge tied to Middle East tensions and Iran-related oil disruptions, while the BoC held its policy rate steady at 2.25% on April 29, citing balanced risks. The 38.8% odds on 1.5–1.9% reflect expectations of disinflation resuming if oil stabilizes, though US tariffs pose upside risks to the 29.6% priced for 4.0%+. April CPI data, due May 19, represents the next key catalyst ahead of the June 10 rate decision.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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