Recent July 2026 CPI data, showing a 3.4% year-over-year rise that matched consensus and eased from June's 3.5%, anchors trader sentiment for the August print, with energy prices (gasoline down for a second month) and shelter costs contributing to the moderation. Core CPI also cooled to 2.5% annually, reflecting subdued goods inflation amid ongoing tariff pass-through effects and a stable labor market. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 3.3-3.4% as participants weigh potential further deceleration against upside risks from fiscal stimulus, lingering import cost pressures, and any rebound in food or energy. The August release on September 11 will provide the next key data point for assessing whether inflation remains sticky above the Fed's 2% target.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено3,4% 37%
3,3% 28%
3,5% 18%
3,6% 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
≤2,9%
3%
3,0%
4%
3,1%
2%
3,2%
5%
3,3%
28%
3,4%
37%
3,5%
18%
3,6%
7%
3,7%
5%
3,8%
5%
3,9%
3%
≥4,0%
2%
3,4% 37%
3,3% 28%
3,5% 18%
3,6% 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
≤2,9%
$72 Объем
3%
3,0%
$72 Объем
4%
3,1%
$72 Объем
2%
3,2%
$72 Объем
5%
3,3%
$313 Объем
28%
3,4%
$1,561 Объем
37%
3,5%
$200 Объем
18%
3,6%
$72 Объем
7%
3,7%
$171 Объем
5%
3,8%
$192 Объем
5%
3,9%
$208 Объем
3%
≥4,0%
$64 Объем
2%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 CPI data, showing a 3.4% year-over-year rise that matched consensus and eased from June's 3.5%, anchors trader sentiment for the August print, with energy prices (gasoline down for a second month) and shelter costs contributing to the moderation. Core CPI also cooled to 2.5% annually, reflecting subdued goods inflation amid ongoing tariff pass-through effects and a stable labor market. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 3.3-3.4% as participants weigh potential further deceleration against upside risks from fiscal stimulus, lingering import cost pressures, and any rebound in food or energy. The August release on September 11 will provide the next key data point for assessing whether inflation remains sticky above the Fed's 2% target.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Объем
$3,067Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 CPI data, showing a 3.4% year-over-year rise that matched consensus and eased from June's 3.5%, anchors trader sentiment for the August print, with energy prices (gasoline down for a second month) and shelter costs contributing to the moderation. Core CPI also cooled to 2.5% annually, reflecting subdued goods inflation amid ongoing tariff pass-through effects and a stable labor market. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 3.3-3.4% as participants weigh potential further deceleration against upside risks from fiscal stimulus, lingering import cost pressures, and any rebound in food or energy. The August release on September 11 will provide the next key data point for assessing whether inflation remains sticky above the Fed's 2% target.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$3,067Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 CPI data, showing a 3.4% year-over-year rise that matched consensus and eased from June's 3.5%, anchors trader sentiment for the August print, with energy prices (gasoline down for a second month) and shelter costs contributing to the moderation. Core CPI also cooled to 2.5% annually, reflecting subdued goods inflation amid ongoing tariff pass-through effects and a stable labor market. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 3.3-3.4% as participants weigh potential further deceleration against upside risks from fiscal stimulus, lingering import cost pressures, and any rebound in food or energy. The August release on September 11 will provide the next key data point for assessing whether inflation remains sticky above the Fed's 2% target.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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