India's CPI inflation has climbed to 4.45% in July 2026 from 4.38% in June and 3.93% in May, driven by elevated food prices and delayed pass-through from Middle East energy shocks. The Reserve Bank of India raised its FY2026-27 average forecast to 5.1%, citing imported inflation risks while holding the repo rate steady at 5.25%. These developments have shifted trader consensus toward the 4.50%+ outcome, as recent prints and base effects point to sustained pressure above the 4% target through year-end. Upcoming monsoon and commodity data releases remain key swing factors for the full-year average.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено4,50%+ 80%
От 3,75% до 4,49% 14.5%
<0,75% 4.2%
От 3,00% до 3,74% 3.5%
$78,025 Объем
$78,025 Объем
12 янв. 2027 г.
<0,75%
4%
0,75% до 1,49%
<1%
1,50% до 2,24%
1%
2,25% – 2,99%
1%
От 3,00% до 3,74%
3%
От 3,75% до 4,49%
15%
4,50%+
80%
4,50%+ 80%
От 3,75% до 4,49% 14.5%
<0,75% 4.2%
От 3,00% до 3,74% 3.5%
$78,025 Объем
$78,025 Объем
12 янв. 2027 г.
<0,75%
$1,769 Объем
4%
0,75% до 1,49%
$1,191 Объем
<1%
1,50% до 2,24%
$1,265 Объем
1%
2,25% – 2,99%
$24,989 Объем
1%
От 3,00% до 3,74%
$2,081 Объем
3%
От 3,75% до 4,49%
$29,492 Объем
15%
4,50%+
$17,238 Объем
80%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia's CPI inflation has climbed to 4.45% in July 2026 from 4.38% in June and 3.93% in May, driven by elevated food prices and delayed pass-through from Middle East energy shocks. The Reserve Bank of India raised its FY2026-27 average forecast to 5.1%, citing imported inflation risks while holding the repo rate steady at 5.25%. These developments have shifted trader consensus toward the 4.50%+ outcome, as recent prints and base effects point to sustained pressure above the 4% target through year-end. Upcoming monsoon and commodity data releases remain key swing factors for the full-year average.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Открытие рынка: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Объем
$78,025Дата окончания
12 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia's CPI inflation has climbed to 4.45% in July 2026 from 4.38% in June and 3.93% in May, driven by elevated food prices and delayed pass-through from Middle East energy shocks. The Reserve Bank of India raised its FY2026-27 average forecast to 5.1%, citing imported inflation risks while holding the repo rate steady at 5.25%. These developments have shifted trader consensus toward the 4.50%+ outcome, as recent prints and base effects point to sustained pressure above the 4% target through year-end. Upcoming monsoon and commodity data releases remain key swing factors for the full-year average.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Объем
$78,025Дата окончания
12 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...India's CPI inflation has climbed to 4.45% in July 2026 from 4.38% in June and 3.93% in May, driven by elevated food prices and delayed pass-through from Middle East energy shocks. The Reserve Bank of India raised its FY2026-27 average forecast to 5.1%, citing imported inflation risks while holding the repo rate steady at 5.25%. These developments have shifted trader consensus toward the 4.50%+ outcome, as recent prints and base effects point to sustained pressure above the 4% target through year-end. Upcoming monsoon and commodity data releases remain key swing factors for the full-year average.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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