Recent Middle East supply disruptions have driven Brazil’s IPCA higher through elevated fuel and food costs, pushing 2026 market-implied inflation expectations into the 5.00–5.49 percent band with 30.3 percent probability. Focus survey medians have climbed to roughly 4.9 percent after April’s 4.39 percent print, while major banks now cluster forecasts between 5.0 percent and 5.3 percent amid rigid services prices and fiscal spending pressures. The Central Bank of Brazil’s cautious 25-basis-point Selic cuts to 14.50 percent reflect this upward shift, with policymakers flagging de-anchored longer-term expectations. Traders are watching upcoming IPCA releases and the next Copom decision for signs of whether oil-driven momentum eases or persists into year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено5,00–5,49% 27.3%
5,50–5,99% 21.0%
4,50–4,99% 17.0%
7,00%+ 8.1%
$57,305 Объем
$57,305 Объем
12 янв. 2027 г.
<3,00%
<1%
3,00-3,49%
7%
3,50–3,99%
2%
4,00–4,49%
7%
4,50–4,99%
17%
5,00–5,49%
30%
5,50–5,99%
21%
6,00–6,49%
6%
6,50–6,99%
3%
7,00%+
11%
5,00–5,49% 27.3%
5,50–5,99% 21.0%
4,50–4,99% 17.0%
7,00%+ 8.1%
$57,305 Объем
$57,305 Объем
12 янв. 2027 г.
<3,00%
$4,310 Объем
<1%
3,00-3,49%
$4,370 Объем
7%
3,50–3,99%
$8,996 Объем
2%
4,00–4,49%
$7,722 Объем
7%
4,50–4,99%
$7,022 Объем
17%
5,00–5,49%
$6,105 Объем
30%
5,50–5,99%
$5,695 Объем
21%
6,00–6,49%
$4,670 Объем
6%
6,50–6,99%
$4,858 Объем
3%
7,00%+
$3,556 Объем
11%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent Middle East supply disruptions have driven Brazil’s IPCA higher through elevated fuel and food costs, pushing 2026 market-implied inflation expectations into the 5.00–5.49 percent band with 30.3 percent probability. Focus survey medians have climbed to roughly 4.9 percent after April’s 4.39 percent print, while major banks now cluster forecasts between 5.0 percent and 5.3 percent amid rigid services prices and fiscal spending pressures. The Central Bank of Brazil’s cautious 25-basis-point Selic cuts to 14.50 percent reflect this upward shift, with policymakers flagging de-anchored longer-term expectations. Traders are watching upcoming IPCA releases and the next Copom decision for signs of whether oil-driven momentum eases or persists into year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Открытие рынка: Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Объем
$57,305Дата окончания
12 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent Middle East supply disruptions have driven Brazil’s IPCA higher through elevated fuel and food costs, pushing 2026 market-implied inflation expectations into the 5.00–5.49 percent band with 30.3 percent probability. Focus survey medians have climbed to roughly 4.9 percent after April’s 4.39 percent print, while major banks now cluster forecasts between 5.0 percent and 5.3 percent amid rigid services prices and fiscal spending pressures. The Central Bank of Brazil’s cautious 25-basis-point Selic cuts to 14.50 percent reflect this upward shift, with policymakers flagging de-anchored longer-term expectations. Traders are watching upcoming IPCA releases and the next Copom decision for signs of whether oil-driven momentum eases or persists into year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Объем
$57,305Дата окончания
12 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Middle East supply disruptions have driven Brazil’s IPCA higher through elevated fuel and food costs, pushing 2026 market-implied inflation expectations into the 5.00–5.49 percent band with 30.3 percent probability. Focus survey medians have climbed to roughly 4.9 percent after April’s 4.39 percent print, while major banks now cluster forecasts between 5.0 percent and 5.3 percent amid rigid services prices and fiscal spending pressures. The Central Bank of Brazil’s cautious 25-basis-point Selic cuts to 14.50 percent reflect this upward shift, with policymakers flagging de-anchored longer-term expectations. Traders are watching upcoming IPCA releases and the next Copom decision for signs of whether oil-driven momentum eases or persists into year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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