Argentina’s 2026 inflation outlook remains centered in the low-30 percent range, with market-implied odds placing the highest probability on a 30.0–34.9 percent print. Recent Central Bank of Argentina surveys show analysts lifting their median year-end forecast to 30.5 percent after monthly CPI readings accelerated to 3.4 percent in March, lifting the annual rate to 32.6 percent. President Milei’s fiscal consolidation and tight monetary stance continue to anchor disinflation expectations, yet slower-than-anticipated progress and persistent core pressures have widened the distribution across the 25–45 percent bands. Traders are watching upcoming monthly prints and any adjustments to the crawling-peg band for signals on whether the pace of cooling will hold near current levels or reaccelerate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено40-44,9% 28.0%
30,0–34,9% 23.5%
25-29,9% 20%
20-24,9% 17.7%
<20%
7%
20-24,9%
18%
25-29,9%
23%
30,0–34,9%
30%
35–39,9%
17%
40-44,9%
28%
45%+
9%
40-44,9% 28.0%
30,0–34,9% 23.5%
25-29,9% 20%
20-24,9% 17.7%
<20%
7%
20-24,9%
18%
25-29,9%
23%
30,0–34,9%
30%
35–39,9%
17%
40-44,9%
28%
45%+
9%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina’s 2026 inflation outlook remains centered in the low-30 percent range, with market-implied odds placing the highest probability on a 30.0–34.9 percent print. Recent Central Bank of Argentina surveys show analysts lifting their median year-end forecast to 30.5 percent after monthly CPI readings accelerated to 3.4 percent in March, lifting the annual rate to 32.6 percent. President Milei’s fiscal consolidation and tight monetary stance continue to anchor disinflation expectations, yet slower-than-anticipated progress and persistent core pressures have widened the distribution across the 25–45 percent bands. Traders are watching upcoming monthly prints and any adjustments to the crawling-peg band for signals on whether the pace of cooling will hold near current levels or reaccelerate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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