Recent monthly inflation readings near 33.8% year-over-year in July 2026, alongside IMF and OECD projections of roughly 30-31% for the full year, underpin the near-even market-implied odds between the 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% brackets. Traders are weighing Argentina’s fiscal surplus, tighter monetary framework, and slowing sequential price pressures—evident in sub-2.5% monthly prints earlier in 2026—against persistent inertia from relative price adjustments and external risks that could keep the annual outcome in the low-to-mid 30s. Upcoming INDEC releases and any shifts in exchange-rate band policy or reserve accumulation will likely determine whether consensus moves toward the sub-30% band or remains anchored above it.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено30,0–34,9% 51.5%
25-29,9% 45%
45%+ 1.9%
<20% 1.7%
$41,125 Объем
$41,125 Объем
10 янв. 2027 г.
<20%
2%
20-24,9%
2%
25-29,9%
45%
30,0–34,9%
52%
35–39,9%
<1%
40-44,9%
1%
45%+
2%
30,0–34,9% 51.5%
25-29,9% 45%
45%+ 1.9%
<20% 1.7%
$41,125 Объем
$41,125 Объем
10 янв. 2027 г.
<20%
$4,648 Объем
2%
20-24,9%
$3,216 Объем
2%
25-29,9%
$12,331 Объем
45%
30,0–34,9%
$10,612 Объем
52%
35–39,9%
$3,367 Объем
<1%
40-44,9%
$3,511 Объем
1%
45%+
$3,439 Объем
2%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent monthly inflation readings near 33.8% year-over-year in July 2026, alongside IMF and OECD projections of roughly 30-31% for the full year, underpin the near-even market-implied odds between the 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% brackets. Traders are weighing Argentina’s fiscal surplus, tighter monetary framework, and slowing sequential price pressures—evident in sub-2.5% monthly prints earlier in 2026—against persistent inertia from relative price adjustments and external risks that could keep the annual outcome in the low-to-mid 30s. Upcoming INDEC releases and any shifts in exchange-rate band policy or reserve accumulation will likely determine whether consensus moves toward the sub-30% band or remains anchored above it.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Объем
$41,125Дата окончания
10 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent monthly inflation readings near 33.8% year-over-year in July 2026, alongside IMF and OECD projections of roughly 30-31% for the full year, underpin the near-even market-implied odds between the 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% brackets. Traders are weighing Argentina’s fiscal surplus, tighter monetary framework, and slowing sequential price pressures—evident in sub-2.5% monthly prints earlier in 2026—against persistent inertia from relative price adjustments and external risks that could keep the annual outcome in the low-to-mid 30s. Upcoming INDEC releases and any shifts in exchange-rate band policy or reserve accumulation will likely determine whether consensus moves toward the sub-30% band or remains anchored above it.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$41,125Дата окончания
10 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly inflation readings near 33.8% year-over-year in July 2026, alongside IMF and OECD projections of roughly 30-31% for the full year, underpin the near-even market-implied odds between the 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% brackets. Traders are weighing Argentina’s fiscal surplus, tighter monetary framework, and slowing sequential price pressures—evident in sub-2.5% monthly prints earlier in 2026—against persistent inertia from relative price adjustments and external risks that could keep the annual outcome in the low-to-mid 30s. Upcoming INDEC releases and any shifts in exchange-rate band policy or reserve accumulation will likely determine whether consensus moves toward the sub-30% band or remains anchored above it.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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