South Africa's 2026 inflation outlook remains anchored around 4.4-5.0% amid fuel-driven volatility, with SARB forecasts and recent CPI prints shaping trader positioning. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East lifted June headline inflation to a two-year high of 5.0% before easing to 4.3% in July, driven by transport costs that peaked above 12% year-over-year. The SARB's 7% policy rate, held steady in July, and its May projection of 4.4% average inflation this year reflect efforts to contain second-round effects while expectations hover near 3.6%. Close odds across the 4.4-5.0% range highlight uncertainty over oil price persistence, rand movements, and core inflation trends versus the anticipated moderation toward the 3% target by 2028. The September MPC meeting and August CPI release represent key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено4,7-5,0% 28.5%
4,4-4,7% 21.2%
>5,0% 18.4%
2,9-3,2% 4.9%
$42,503 Объем
$42,503 Объем
19 янв. 2027 г.
<2,6%
<1%
2,6–2,9%
<1%
2,9-3,2%
5%
3,2-3,5%
3%
3,5–3,8%
4%
3,8-4,1%
4%
4,1-4,4%
4%
4,4-4,7%
21%
4,7-5,0%
24%
>5,0%
18%
4,7-5,0% 28.5%
4,4-4,7% 21.2%
>5,0% 18.4%
2,9-3,2% 4.9%
$42,503 Объем
$42,503 Объем
19 янв. 2027 г.
<2,6%
$1,219 Объем
<1%
2,6–2,9%
$1,864 Объем
<1%
2,9-3,2%
$1,564 Объем
5%
3,2-3,5%
$1,245 Объем
3%
3,5–3,8%
$1,798 Объем
4%
3,8-4,1%
$3,448 Объем
4%
4,1-4,4%
$3,409 Объем
4%
4,4-4,7%
$14,995 Объем
21%
4,7-5,0%
$3,898 Объем
24%
>5,0%
$9,062 Объем
18%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa's 2026 inflation outlook remains anchored around 4.4-5.0% amid fuel-driven volatility, with SARB forecasts and recent CPI prints shaping trader positioning. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East lifted June headline inflation to a two-year high of 5.0% before easing to 4.3% in July, driven by transport costs that peaked above 12% year-over-year. The SARB's 7% policy rate, held steady in July, and its May projection of 4.4% average inflation this year reflect efforts to contain second-round effects while expectations hover near 3.6%. Close odds across the 4.4-5.0% range highlight uncertainty over oil price persistence, rand movements, and core inflation trends versus the anticipated moderation toward the 3% target by 2028. The September MPC meeting and August CPI release represent key near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Открытие рынка: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Объем
$42,503Дата окончания
20 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa's 2026 inflation outlook remains anchored around 4.4-5.0% amid fuel-driven volatility, with SARB forecasts and recent CPI prints shaping trader positioning. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East lifted June headline inflation to a two-year high of 5.0% before easing to 4.3% in July, driven by transport costs that peaked above 12% year-over-year. The SARB's 7% policy rate, held steady in July, and its May projection of 4.4% average inflation this year reflect efforts to contain second-round effects while expectations hover near 3.6%. Close odds across the 4.4-5.0% range highlight uncertainty over oil price persistence, rand movements, and core inflation trends versus the anticipated moderation toward the 3% target by 2028. The September MPC meeting and August CPI release represent key near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Объем
$42,503Дата окончания
20 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...South Africa's 2026 inflation outlook remains anchored around 4.4-5.0% amid fuel-driven volatility, with SARB forecasts and recent CPI prints shaping trader positioning. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East lifted June headline inflation to a two-year high of 5.0% before easing to 4.3% in July, driven by transport costs that peaked above 12% year-over-year. The SARB's 7% policy rate, held steady in July, and its May projection of 4.4% average inflation this year reflect efforts to contain second-round effects while expectations hover near 3.6%. Close odds across the 4.4-5.0% range highlight uncertainty over oil price persistence, rand movements, and core inflation trends versus the anticipated moderation toward the 3% target by 2028. The September MPC meeting and August CPI release represent key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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