South African CPI inflation moderated to 3.1% year-over-year in March 2026 from 3.0% in February, aligning with market expectations and remaining near the South African Reserve Bank’s 3% target midpoint within the 2-4% tolerance band. Trader sentiment on the 2026 annual average reflects this stability alongside upside risks from fuel pass-through after Middle East tensions, administered electricity and utility price adjustments, and rand volatility that could transmit into food and import costs later in the year. With leading outcome probabilities clustered tightly between 39% and 42% across the 2.9-3.2%, 4.1-4.4%, and above-5.0% brackets, the market prices in a balanced contest between continued disinflation and potential reacceleration driven by global commodity shocks. The next CPI release on 20 May and SARB monetary policy updates will likely influence positioning ahead of full-year resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено>5,0% 43.9%
2,9-3,2% 41.0%
<2,6% 31.4%
4,4-4,7% 10.8%
$21,308 Объем
$21,308 Объем
20 янв. 2027 г.
<2,6%
31%
2,6–2,9%
36%
2,9-3,2%
41%
3,2-3,5%
22%
3,5–3,8%
22%
3,8-4,1%
34%
4,1-4,4%
39%
4,4-4,7%
11%
4,7-5,0%
22%
>5,0%
44%
>5,0% 43.9%
2,9-3,2% 41.0%
<2,6% 31.4%
4,4-4,7% 10.8%
$21,308 Объем
$21,308 Объем
20 янв. 2027 г.
<2,6%
$260 Объем
31%
2,6–2,9%
$275 Объем
36%
2,9-3,2%
$362 Объем
41%
3,2-3,5%
$363 Объем
22%
3,5–3,8%
$465 Объем
22%
3,8-4,1%
$655 Объем
34%
4,1-4,4%
$532 Объем
39%
4,4-4,7%
$12,089 Объем
11%
4,7-5,0%
$366 Объем
22%
>5,0%
$5,941 Объем
44%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South African CPI inflation moderated to 3.1% year-over-year in March 2026 from 3.0% in February, aligning with market expectations and remaining near the South African Reserve Bank’s 3% target midpoint within the 2-4% tolerance band. Trader sentiment on the 2026 annual average reflects this stability alongside upside risks from fuel pass-through after Middle East tensions, administered electricity and utility price adjustments, and rand volatility that could transmit into food and import costs later in the year. With leading outcome probabilities clustered tightly between 39% and 42% across the 2.9-3.2%, 4.1-4.4%, and above-5.0% brackets, the market prices in a balanced contest between continued disinflation and potential reacceleration driven by global commodity shocks. The next CPI release on 20 May and SARB monetary policy updates will likely influence positioning ahead of full-year resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Открытие рынка: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Объем
$21,308Дата окончания
20 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South African CPI inflation moderated to 3.1% year-over-year in March 2026 from 3.0% in February, aligning with market expectations and remaining near the South African Reserve Bank’s 3% target midpoint within the 2-4% tolerance band. Trader sentiment on the 2026 annual average reflects this stability alongside upside risks from fuel pass-through after Middle East tensions, administered electricity and utility price adjustments, and rand volatility that could transmit into food and import costs later in the year. With leading outcome probabilities clustered tightly between 39% and 42% across the 2.9-3.2%, 4.1-4.4%, and above-5.0% brackets, the market prices in a balanced contest between continued disinflation and potential reacceleration driven by global commodity shocks. The next CPI release on 20 May and SARB monetary policy updates will likely influence positioning ahead of full-year resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Объем
$21,308Дата окончания
20 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South African CPI inflation moderated to 3.1% year-over-year in March 2026 from 3.0% in February, aligning with market expectations and remaining near the South African Reserve Bank’s 3% target midpoint within the 2-4% tolerance band. Trader sentiment on the 2026 annual average reflects this stability alongside upside risks from fuel pass-through after Middle East tensions, administered electricity and utility price adjustments, and rand volatility that could transmit into food and import costs later in the year. With leading outcome probabilities clustered tightly between 39% and 42% across the 2.9-3.2%, 4.1-4.4%, and above-5.0% brackets, the market prices in a balanced contest between continued disinflation and potential reacceleration driven by global commodity shocks. The next CPI release on 20 May and SARB monetary policy updates will likely influence positioning ahead of full-year resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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