The recent climb in the 30-year Treasury yield to the 5.25–5.27% range as of early September 2026, with a mid-August peak near 5.31–5.34%, reflects a higher term premium amid federal debt exceeding $40 trillion, persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and elevated real rates. Geopolitical tensions involving Iran have pushed oil prices higher, reinforcing inflation concerns, while heavy Treasury issuance competes with corporate borrowing for AI infrastructure projects. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications have shifted expectations toward potential rate hikes rather than easing. Treasury buybacks announced in August offered limited relief. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment releases, and ongoing fiscal dynamics that could sustain or extend pressure on long-end yields through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
30 дек. 2026 г.
6,00%
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5,80%
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5,70%
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5,65%
50%
5,60%
50%
5,55%
50%
5,50%
50%
5,45%
50%
5,40%
51%
$0.00 Объем
6,00%
$0 Объем
50%
5,80%
$0 Объем
50%
5,70%
$0 Объем
50%
5,65%
$0 Объем
50%
5,60%
$0 Объем
50%
5,55%
$0 Объем
50%
5,50%
$0 Объем
50%
5,45%
$0 Объем
50%
5,40%
$0 Объем
51%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The recent climb in the 30-year Treasury yield to the 5.25–5.27% range as of early September 2026, with a mid-August peak near 5.31–5.34%, reflects a higher term premium amid federal debt exceeding $40 trillion, persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and elevated real rates. Geopolitical tensions involving Iran have pushed oil prices higher, reinforcing inflation concerns, while heavy Treasury issuance competes with corporate borrowing for AI infrastructure projects. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications have shifted expectations toward potential rate hikes rather than easing. Treasury buybacks announced in August offered limited relief. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment releases, and ongoing fiscal dynamics that could sustain or extend pressure on long-end yields through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The recent climb in the 30-year Treasury yield to the 5.25–5.27% range as of early September 2026, with a mid-August peak near 5.31–5.34%, reflects a higher term premium amid federal debt exceeding $40 trillion, persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and elevated real rates. Geopolitical tensions involving Iran have pushed oil prices higher, reinforcing inflation concerns, while heavy Treasury issuance competes with corporate borrowing for AI infrastructure projects. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications have shifted expectations toward potential rate hikes rather than easing. Treasury buybacks announced in August offered limited relief. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment releases, and ongoing fiscal dynamics that could sustain or extend pressure on long-end yields through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The recent climb in the 30-year Treasury yield to the 5.25–5.27% range as of early September 2026, with a mid-August peak near 5.31–5.34%, reflects a higher term premium amid federal debt exceeding $40 trillion, persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and elevated real rates. Geopolitical tensions involving Iran have pushed oil prices higher, reinforcing inflation concerns, while heavy Treasury issuance competes with corporate borrowing for AI infrastructure projects. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications have shifted expectations toward potential rate hikes rather than easing. Treasury buybacks announced in August offered limited relief. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment releases, and ongoing fiscal dynamics that could sustain or extend pressure on long-end yields through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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