Persistent inflation pressures, driven by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions, combined with a hawkish Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh, remain the dominant forces lifting 30-year Treasury yields near 5.25% as of September 3. Markets price roughly 60-70% odds of a September 15-16 FOMC rate hike, following the July hold and recent Jackson Hole comments emphasizing the 2% target. Fiscal deficit concerns and heavy corporate issuance add upward pressure on long-end yields, though expanded Treasury buybacks have provided limited support. Key near-term catalysts include the September 11 inflation release and the FOMC decision, which could push yields toward or beyond recent peaks near 5.3% if hawkish signals intensify.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
5,60%
38%
5,55%
50%
5,50%
50%
5,45%
51%
5,42%
51%
5,39%
51%
5,36%
51%
5,33%
50%
5,30%
63%
$0.00 Объем
5,60%
$0 Объем
38%
5,55%
$0 Объем
50%
5,50%
$0 Объем
50%
5,45%
$0 Объем
51%
5,42%
$0 Объем
51%
5,39%
$0 Объем
51%
5,36%
$0 Объем
51%
5,33%
$0 Объем
50%
5,30%
$0 Объем
63%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Persistent inflation pressures, driven by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions, combined with a hawkish Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh, remain the dominant forces lifting 30-year Treasury yields near 5.25% as of September 3. Markets price roughly 60-70% odds of a September 15-16 FOMC rate hike, following the July hold and recent Jackson Hole comments emphasizing the 2% target. Fiscal deficit concerns and heavy corporate issuance add upward pressure on long-end yields, though expanded Treasury buybacks have provided limited support. Key near-term catalysts include the September 11 inflation release and the FOMC decision, which could push yields toward or beyond recent peaks near 5.3% if hawkish signals intensify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Persistent inflation pressures, driven by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions, combined with a hawkish Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh, remain the dominant forces lifting 30-year Treasury yields near 5.25% as of September 3. Markets price roughly 60-70% odds of a September 15-16 FOMC rate hike, following the July hold and recent Jackson Hole comments emphasizing the 2% target. Fiscal deficit concerns and heavy corporate issuance add upward pressure on long-end yields, though expanded Treasury buybacks have provided limited support. Key near-term catalysts include the September 11 inflation release and the FOMC decision, which could push yields toward or beyond recent peaks near 5.3% if hawkish signals intensify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation pressures, driven by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions, combined with a hawkish Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh, remain the dominant forces lifting 30-year Treasury yields near 5.25% as of September 3. Markets price roughly 60-70% odds of a September 15-16 FOMC rate hike, following the July hold and recent Jackson Hole comments emphasizing the 2% target. Fiscal deficit concerns and heavy corporate issuance add upward pressure on long-end yields, though expanded Treasury buybacks have provided limited support. Key near-term catalysts include the September 11 inflation release and the FOMC decision, which could push yields toward or beyond recent peaks near 5.3% if hawkish signals intensify.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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