Geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz have supported Brent crude near $87 per barrel and WTI near $82 in mid-August 2026, following a July spike above $105 amid tanker attacks and reduced shipments. These factors tightened inventories and elevated prices well below the $147 all-time high from 2008, yet also triggered demand destruction that IEA and EIA forecasts project will contribute to a 1.6 mb/d global demand decline for the year. Market-implied odds reflect limited near-term potential for new records, with supply recovery expected to ease balances by year-end and push average prices lower to around $78 by 4Q26. Key upcoming catalysts include any de-escalation agreements or further maritime incidents that could shift inventory draws and volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCrude Oil all time high by...?
$2,519,261 Объем
September 30
3%
December 31
13%
$2,519,261 Объем
September 30
3%
December 31
13%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Открытие рынка: Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz have supported Brent crude near $87 per barrel and WTI near $82 in mid-August 2026, following a July spike above $105 amid tanker attacks and reduced shipments. These factors tightened inventories and elevated prices well below the $147 all-time high from 2008, yet also triggered demand destruction that IEA and EIA forecasts project will contribute to a 1.6 mb/d global demand decline for the year. Market-implied odds reflect limited near-term potential for new records, with supply recovery expected to ease balances by year-end and push average prices lower to around $78 by 4Q26. Key upcoming catalysts include any de-escalation agreements or further maritime incidents that could shift inventory draws and volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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