Gold's price trajectory toward year-end 2026 remains anchored by robust central bank demand averaging nearly 200 tonnes quarterly alongside persistent geopolitical tensions and fiscal uncertainties that bolster safe-haven buying. As of mid-May, GC futures trade near $4,700 per ounce after a roughly 16 percent pullback from the January peak above $5,500, pressured by a firmer U.S. dollar and higher real yields. Institutional forecasts, including J.P. Morgan's projection of an average near $5,055 in Q4, reflect expectations that continued ETF inflows and diversification away from the dollar could support a retest of the $5,000 handle, though any sustained dollar strength or accelerated Federal Reserve tightening would cap upside. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation data and FOMC communications that will shape rate-cut probabilities and real-yield levels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧто будет с золотом (GC) __ к концу декабря?
Что будет с золотом (GC) __ к концу декабря?
$291,659 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
↑ $15 000
4%
↑ $12 000
5%
↑ $10 000
6%
↑ $8,000
7%
↑ $7 000
12%
↑ $6,000
30%
$291,659 Объем
↑ $15 000
$26,367 Объем
4%
↑ $12 000
$37,998 Объем
5%
↑ $10 000
$22,277 Объем
6%
↑ $8,000
$22,026 Объем
7%
↑ $7 000
$44,405 Объем
12%
↑ $6,000
$138,586 Объем
30%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold's price trajectory toward year-end 2026 remains anchored by robust central bank demand averaging nearly 200 tonnes quarterly alongside persistent geopolitical tensions and fiscal uncertainties that bolster safe-haven buying. As of mid-May, GC futures trade near $4,700 per ounce after a roughly 16 percent pullback from the January peak above $5,500, pressured by a firmer U.S. dollar and higher real yields. Institutional forecasts, including J.P. Morgan's projection of an average near $5,055 in Q4, reflect expectations that continued ETF inflows and diversification away from the dollar could support a retest of the $5,000 handle, though any sustained dollar strength or accelerated Federal Reserve tightening would cap upside. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation data and FOMC communications that will shape rate-cut probabilities and real-yield levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Открытие рынка: Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Объем
$291,659Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold's price trajectory toward year-end 2026 remains anchored by robust central bank demand averaging nearly 200 tonnes quarterly alongside persistent geopolitical tensions and fiscal uncertainties that bolster safe-haven buying. As of mid-May, GC futures trade near $4,700 per ounce after a roughly 16 percent pullback from the January peak above $5,500, pressured by a firmer U.S. dollar and higher real yields. Institutional forecasts, including J.P. Morgan's projection of an average near $5,055 in Q4, reflect expectations that continued ETF inflows and diversification away from the dollar could support a retest of the $5,000 handle, though any sustained dollar strength or accelerated Federal Reserve tightening would cap upside. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation data and FOMC communications that will shape rate-cut probabilities and real-yield levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Объем
$291,659Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold's price trajectory toward year-end 2026 remains anchored by robust central bank demand averaging nearly 200 tonnes quarterly alongside persistent geopolitical tensions and fiscal uncertainties that bolster safe-haven buying. As of mid-May, GC futures trade near $4,700 per ounce after a roughly 16 percent pullback from the January peak above $5,500, pressured by a firmer U.S. dollar and higher real yields. Institutional forecasts, including J.P. Morgan's projection of an average near $5,055 in Q4, reflect expectations that continued ETF inflows and diversification away from the dollar could support a retest of the $5,000 handle, though any sustained dollar strength or accelerated Federal Reserve tightening would cap upside. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation data and FOMC communications that will shape rate-cut probabilities and real-yield levels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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