Trader sentiment on Polymarket prices a 39% implied probability for OpenAI achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $1.5 trillion, driven by surging annualized revenue topping $25 billion, a recent $6.6 billion employee tender offer implying an $852 billion private valuation, and on-chain pre-IPO instruments trading at $900 billion–$1 trillion levels amid AI sector euphoria. High compute commitments nearing $600 billion and reports of missed user growth targets have elevated the "No IPO by December 31, 2027" outcome to 26%, reflecting execution risks in OpenAI's unique capped-profit structure ahead of potential Q4 2026 listing. CFO signals on retail share allocation and bank advisory talks sustain optimism for trillion-dollar brackets, with no S-1 filing yet as the key near-term catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1,5Т+ 40.0%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 26%
500–750 млрд 15%
750 млрд – 1 трлн 10%
$16,310 Объем
$16,310 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<500 млрд
13%
500–750 млрд
15%
750 млрд – 1 трлн
20%
1–1,25 трлн
18%
1,25–1,5 трлн
11%
1,5Т+
40%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
26%
1,5Т+ 40.0%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 26%
500–750 млрд 15%
750 млрд – 1 трлн 10%
$16,310 Объем
$16,310 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<500 млрд
$149 Объем
13%
500–750 млрд
$287 Объем
15%
750 млрд – 1 трлн
$389 Объем
20%
1–1,25 трлн
$3,197 Объем
18%
1,25–1,5 трлн
$478 Объем
11%
1,5Т+
$311 Объем
40%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
$11,499 Объем
26%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader sentiment on Polymarket prices a 39% implied probability for OpenAI achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $1.5 trillion, driven by surging annualized revenue topping $25 billion, a recent $6.6 billion employee tender offer implying an $852 billion private valuation, and on-chain pre-IPO instruments trading at $900 billion–$1 trillion levels amid AI sector euphoria. High compute commitments nearing $600 billion and reports of missed user growth targets have elevated the "No IPO by December 31, 2027" outcome to 26%, reflecting execution risks in OpenAI's unique capped-profit structure ahead of potential Q4 2026 listing. CFO signals on retail share allocation and bank advisory talks sustain optimism for trillion-dollar brackets, with no S-1 filing yet as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Объем
$16,310Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader sentiment on Polymarket prices a 39% implied probability for OpenAI achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $1.5 trillion, driven by surging annualized revenue topping $25 billion, a recent $6.6 billion employee tender offer implying an $852 billion private valuation, and on-chain pre-IPO instruments trading at $900 billion–$1 trillion levels amid AI sector euphoria. High compute commitments nearing $600 billion and reports of missed user growth targets have elevated the "No IPO by December 31, 2027" outcome to 26%, reflecting execution risks in OpenAI's unique capped-profit structure ahead of potential Q4 2026 listing. CFO signals on retail share allocation and bank advisory talks sustain optimism for trillion-dollar brackets, with no S-1 filing yet as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$16,310Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Polymarket prices a 39% implied probability for OpenAI achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $1.5 trillion, driven by surging annualized revenue topping $25 billion, a recent $6.6 billion employee tender offer implying an $852 billion private valuation, and on-chain pre-IPO instruments trading at $900 billion–$1 trillion levels amid AI sector euphoria. High compute commitments nearing $600 billion and reports of missed user growth targets have elevated the "No IPO by December 31, 2027" outcome to 26%, reflecting execution risks in OpenAI's unique capped-profit structure ahead of potential Q4 2026 listing. CFO signals on retail share allocation and bank advisory talks sustain optimism for trillion-dollar brackets, with no S-1 filing yet as the key near-term catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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