OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors current trader sentiment, backed by a roughly $25 billion annualized revenue run rate that has flattened after rapid growth. Persistent multi-billion-dollar operating losses, competitive pressure from Anthropic, and the June 2026 confidential S-1 filing—now viewed as pointing to a 2027 rather than late-2026 listing—create a wide distribution of implied market-cap outcomes at debut. Traders weigh sustained ARR expansion and potential multiple compression against execution risks and the modest probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027, producing the observed spread across $500 billion to $1.5 trillion-plus buckets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1,5Т+ 32.6%
1–1,25 трлн 20.8%
1,25–1,5 трлн 18%
750 млрд – 1 трлн 12%
$84,258 Объем
$84,258 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<500 млрд
1%
500–750 млрд
3%
750 млрд – 1 трлн
12%
1–1,25 трлн
21%
1,25–1,5 трлн
18%
1,5Т+
33%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
10%
1,5Т+ 32.6%
1–1,25 трлн 20.8%
1,25–1,5 трлн 18%
750 млрд – 1 трлн 12%
$84,258 Объем
$84,258 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<500 млрд
$6,079 Объем
1%
500–750 млрд
$8,196 Объем
3%
750 млрд – 1 трлн
$8,975 Объем
12%
1–1,25 трлн
$13,974 Объем
21%
1,25–1,5 трлн
$7,763 Объем
18%
1,5Т+
$20,040 Объем
33%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
$19,231 Объем
10%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors current trader sentiment, backed by a roughly $25 billion annualized revenue run rate that has flattened after rapid growth. Persistent multi-billion-dollar operating losses, competitive pressure from Anthropic, and the June 2026 confidential S-1 filing—now viewed as pointing to a 2027 rather than late-2026 listing—create a wide distribution of implied market-cap outcomes at debut. Traders weigh sustained ARR expansion and potential multiple compression against execution risks and the modest probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027, producing the observed spread across $500 billion to $1.5 trillion-plus buckets.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Объем
$84,258Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors current trader sentiment, backed by a roughly $25 billion annualized revenue run rate that has flattened after rapid growth. Persistent multi-billion-dollar operating losses, competitive pressure from Anthropic, and the June 2026 confidential S-1 filing—now viewed as pointing to a 2027 rather than late-2026 listing—create a wide distribution of implied market-cap outcomes at debut. Traders weigh sustained ARR expansion and potential multiple compression against execution risks and the modest probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027, producing the observed spread across $500 billion to $1.5 trillion-plus buckets.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$84,258Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors current trader sentiment, backed by a roughly $25 billion annualized revenue run rate that has flattened after rapid growth. Persistent multi-billion-dollar operating losses, competitive pressure from Anthropic, and the June 2026 confidential S-1 filing—now viewed as pointing to a 2027 rather than late-2026 listing—create a wide distribution of implied market-cap outcomes at debut. Traders weigh sustained ARR expansion and potential multiple compression against execution risks and the modest probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027, producing the observed spread across $500 billion to $1.5 trillion-plus buckets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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