OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, ahead of a potential late-year or early-2027 listing, anchors current trader sentiment around the company’s $852 billion March 2026 private valuation from its record $122 billion round. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and other AI labs filing similar paperwork, combined with GPT model releases and revenue momentum, supports expectations of a public premium that could push implied odds toward the $2 trillion range. Offsetting factors include ongoing cash burn, missed internal targets, and the need to finalize restructuring, creating the tight spread between sub-$1 trillion and multi-trillion outcomes visible in the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$2.0T–$2.25T 31%
<$1T 25%
$1.75T–$2.0T 16%
$1.25T–$1.5T 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 июл. 2027 г.
<$1T
25%
$1.0T–$1.25T
13%
$1.25T–$1.5T
28%
$1.5T–$1.75T
13%
$1.75T–$2.0T
16%
$2.0T–$2.25T
31%
$2.25T–$2.5T
11%
$2.5T+
13%
$2.0T–$2.25T 31%
<$1T 25%
$1.75T–$2.0T 16%
$1.25T–$1.5T 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 июл. 2027 г.
<$1T
$443 Объем
25%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$80 Объем
13%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$70 Объем
28%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$163 Объем
13%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$53 Объем
16%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$301 Объем
31%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$75 Объем
11%
$2.5T+
$139 Объем
13%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, ahead of a potential late-year or early-2027 listing, anchors current trader sentiment around the company’s $852 billion March 2026 private valuation from its record $122 billion round. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and other AI labs filing similar paperwork, combined with GPT model releases and revenue momentum, supports expectations of a public premium that could push implied odds toward the $2 trillion range. Offsetting factors include ongoing cash burn, missed internal targets, and the need to finalize restructuring, creating the tight spread between sub-$1 trillion and multi-trillion outcomes visible in the market.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Объем
$1,323Дата окончания
1 июл. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, ahead of a potential late-year or early-2027 listing, anchors current trader sentiment around the company’s $852 billion March 2026 private valuation from its record $122 billion round. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and other AI labs filing similar paperwork, combined with GPT model releases and revenue momentum, supports expectations of a public premium that could push implied odds toward the $2 trillion range. Offsetting factors include ongoing cash burn, missed internal targets, and the need to finalize restructuring, creating the tight spread between sub-$1 trillion and multi-trillion outcomes visible in the market.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,323Дата окончания
1 июл. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, ahead of a potential late-year or early-2027 listing, anchors current trader sentiment around the company’s $852 billion March 2026 private valuation from its record $122 billion round. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and other AI labs filing similar paperwork, combined with GPT model releases and revenue momentum, supports expectations of a public premium that could push implied odds toward the $2 trillion range. Offsetting factors include ongoing cash burn, missed internal targets, and the need to finalize restructuring, creating the tight spread between sub-$1 trillion and multi-trillion outcomes visible in the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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