OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s September 12, 2026 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO, citing the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment work ahead of any listing, have become the dominant driver of trader positioning. With the company having confidentially filed in June yet facing projected 2026 GAAP losses near $62 billion alongside rapid ARR growth, market-implied odds cluster around $1.5–2.0 trillion outcomes. These levels embed expectations for substantial compute-driven revenue expansion tempered by competitive intensity from Anthropic and others, plus the challenge of securing a $1 trillion-plus public valuation in a higher-scrutiny environment. Key upcoming catalysts include any industry safety coordination announcements and further clarity on 2027 timing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.4%
$2.5T+ 16.2%
$1.25T–$1.5T 15.3%
$131,646 Объем
$131,646 Объем
30 июн. 2027 г.
<$1T
6%
$1.0T–$1.25T
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
15%
$1.5T–$1.75T
18%
$1.75T–$2.0T
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
5%
$2.25T–$2.5T
7%
$2.5T+
16%
$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.4%
$2.5T+ 16.2%
$1.25T–$1.5T 15.3%
$131,646 Объем
$131,646 Объем
30 июн. 2027 г.
<$1T
$18,922 Объем
6%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$14,064 Объем
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$7,730 Объем
15%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$7,293 Объем
18%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$13,600 Объем
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$2,616 Объем
5%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$8,484 Объем
7%
$2.5T+
$58,936 Объем
16%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s September 12, 2026 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO, citing the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment work ahead of any listing, have become the dominant driver of trader positioning. With the company having confidentially filed in June yet facing projected 2026 GAAP losses near $62 billion alongside rapid ARR growth, market-implied odds cluster around $1.5–2.0 trillion outcomes. These levels embed expectations for substantial compute-driven revenue expansion tempered by competitive intensity from Anthropic and others, plus the challenge of securing a $1 trillion-plus public valuation in a higher-scrutiny environment. Key upcoming catalysts include any industry safety coordination announcements and further clarity on 2027 timing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Объем
$131,646Дата окончания
1 июл. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s September 12, 2026 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO, citing the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment work ahead of any listing, have become the dominant driver of trader positioning. With the company having confidentially filed in June yet facing projected 2026 GAAP losses near $62 billion alongside rapid ARR growth, market-implied odds cluster around $1.5–2.0 trillion outcomes. These levels embed expectations for substantial compute-driven revenue expansion tempered by competitive intensity from Anthropic and others, plus the challenge of securing a $1 trillion-plus public valuation in a higher-scrutiny environment. Key upcoming catalysts include any industry safety coordination announcements and further clarity on 2027 timing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$131,646Дата окончания
1 июл. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s September 12, 2026 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO, citing the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment work ahead of any listing, have become the dominant driver of trader positioning. With the company having confidentially filed in June yet facing projected 2026 GAAP losses near $62 billion alongside rapid ARR growth, market-implied odds cluster around $1.5–2.0 trillion outcomes. These levels embed expectations for substantial compute-driven revenue expansion tempered by competitive intensity from Anthropic and others, plus the challenge of securing a $1 trillion-plus public valuation in a higher-scrutiny environment. Key upcoming catalysts include any industry safety coordination announcements and further clarity on 2027 timing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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