Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 67.5% implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI, driven by recent reports of the AI safety-focused lab advancing toward an October 2026 public listing amid a potential $30 billion funding round at a $900 billion valuation, backed by commitments from Google and Amazon. This positions Anthropic aggressively in the competitive AI landscape, contrasting with OpenAI's setbacks, including missed revenue and user targets, CFO Sarah Friar's skepticism on a 2026 timeline due to $600 billion in compute obligations, and internal tensions with CEO Sam Altman. Key upcoming catalysts include S-1 filings, regulatory reviews, and further funding announcements, though product timelines and market conditions could still shift odds in this high-stakes AI IPO race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAnthropic
$54,214 Объем
$54,214 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
Anthropic
$54,214 Объем
$54,214 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 67.5% implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI, driven by recent reports of the AI safety-focused lab advancing toward an October 2026 public listing amid a potential $30 billion funding round at a $900 billion valuation, backed by commitments from Google and Amazon. This positions Anthropic aggressively in the competitive AI landscape, contrasting with OpenAI's setbacks, including missed revenue and user targets, CFO Sarah Friar's skepticism on a 2026 timeline due to $600 billion in compute obligations, and internal tensions with CEO Sam Altman. Key upcoming catalysts include S-1 filings, regulatory reviews, and further funding announcements, though product timelines and market conditions could still shift odds in this high-stakes AI IPO race.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Объем
$54,214Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 67.5% implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI, driven by recent reports of the AI safety-focused lab advancing toward an October 2026 public listing amid a potential $30 billion funding round at a $900 billion valuation, backed by commitments from Google and Amazon. This positions Anthropic aggressively in the competitive AI landscape, contrasting with OpenAI's setbacks, including missed revenue and user targets, CFO Sarah Friar's skepticism on a 2026 timeline due to $600 billion in compute obligations, and internal tensions with CEO Sam Altman. Key upcoming catalysts include S-1 filings, regulatory reviews, and further funding announcements, though product timelines and market conditions could still shift odds in this high-stakes AI IPO race.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$54,214Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 67.5% implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI, driven by recent reports of the AI safety-focused lab advancing toward an October 2026 public listing amid a potential $30 billion funding round at a $900 billion valuation, backed by commitments from Google and Amazon. This positions Anthropic aggressively in the competitive AI landscape, contrasting with OpenAI's setbacks, including missed revenue and user targets, CFO Sarah Friar's skepticism on a 2026 timeline due to $600 billion in compute obligations, and internal tensions with CEO Sam Altman. Key upcoming catalysts include S-1 filings, regulatory reviews, and further funding announcements, though product timelines and market conditions could still shift odds in this high-stakes AI IPO race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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