Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in early June 2026, followed by selection of lead underwriters and a targeted fall window as soon as September or October, has anchored trader expectations that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. OpenAI’s own confidential filing occurred around the same period, yet recent reporting indicates the company is now leaning toward a 2027 debut after earlier plans for a late-2026 listing were reconsidered. Both frontier AI labs carry multi-hundred-billion-dollar private valuations and strong revenue growth from large language models, but Anthropic’s more advanced regulatory preparations and explicit near-term timeline create the decisive edge reflected in the 86% market-implied probability. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 disclosures or final pricing announcements that could accelerate or further delay either process.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAnthropic
86% вероятность
$283,921 Объем
$283,921 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
Anthropic
86% вероятность
$283,921 Объем
$283,921 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in early June 2026, followed by selection of lead underwriters and a targeted fall window as soon as September or October, has anchored trader expectations that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. OpenAI’s own confidential filing occurred around the same period, yet recent reporting indicates the company is now leaning toward a 2027 debut after earlier plans for a late-2026 listing were reconsidered. Both frontier AI labs carry multi-hundred-billion-dollar private valuations and strong revenue growth from large language models, but Anthropic’s more advanced regulatory preparations and explicit near-term timeline create the decisive edge reflected in the 86% market-implied probability. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 disclosures or final pricing announcements that could accelerate or further delay either process.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Объем
$283,921Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in early June 2026, followed by selection of lead underwriters and a targeted fall window as soon as September or October, has anchored trader expectations that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. OpenAI’s own confidential filing occurred around the same period, yet recent reporting indicates the company is now leaning toward a 2027 debut after earlier plans for a late-2026 listing were reconsidered. Both frontier AI labs carry multi-hundred-billion-dollar private valuations and strong revenue growth from large language models, but Anthropic’s more advanced regulatory preparations and explicit near-term timeline create the decisive edge reflected in the 86% market-implied probability. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 disclosures or final pricing announcements that could accelerate or further delay either process.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$283,921Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in early June 2026, followed by selection of lead underwriters and a targeted fall window as soon as September or October, has anchored trader expectations that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. OpenAI’s own confidential filing occurred around the same period, yet recent reporting indicates the company is now leaning toward a 2027 debut after earlier plans for a late-2026 listing were reconsidered. Both frontier AI labs carry multi-hundred-billion-dollar private valuations and strong revenue growth from large language models, but Anthropic’s more advanced regulatory preparations and explicit near-term timeline create the decisive edge reflected in the 86% market-implied probability. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 disclosures or final pricing announcements that could accelerate or further delay either process.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли рыночная капитализация Anthropic составлять 600 млрд долларов США или больше к моменту закрытия рынка в день IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года?
96%
Да
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
53%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
20%
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