Trader consensus heavily favors a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's potential IPO at 88% implied probability, driven by explosive private valuations from recent funding rounds—reaching $380 billion post-money in February's $30 billion Series G, then surging to $900–950 billion in ongoing talks reported May 12 for another multibillion raise amid $9 billion annualized revenue run-rate. Claude large language model advancements and enterprise adoption have bolstered competitive positioning against OpenAI, fueling skin-in-the-game optimism for a blockbuster public debut possibly as early as Q4 2026. Lower brackets reflect slim chances of valuation compression, while 11% on no IPO by end-2027 accounts for regulatory hurdles or market volatility; watch for funding closure or S-1 filing as key catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРыночная капитализация закрытия IPO Anthropic (нижние скобки)
Рыночная капитализация закрытия IPO Anthropic (нижние скобки)
600 млрд+ 88%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 11%
400–600 млрд 1.6%
300–400 млрд <1%
$297,523 Объем
$297,523 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<100 млрд
<1%
100–200 млрд
<1%
200–300 млрд
<1%
300–400 млрд
<1%
400–600 млрд
2%
600 млрд+
88%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
11%
600 млрд+ 88%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 11%
400–600 млрд 1.6%
300–400 млрд <1%
$297,523 Объем
$297,523 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<100 млрд
$138,181 Объем
<1%
100–200 млрд
$53,388 Объем
<1%
200–300 млрд
$8,864 Объем
<1%
300–400 млрд
$60,093 Объем
<1%
400–600 млрд
$9,125 Объем
2%
600 млрд+
$15,215 Объем
88%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
$12,657 Объем
11%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus heavily favors a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's potential IPO at 88% implied probability, driven by explosive private valuations from recent funding rounds—reaching $380 billion post-money in February's $30 billion Series G, then surging to $900–950 billion in ongoing talks reported May 12 for another multibillion raise amid $9 billion annualized revenue run-rate. Claude large language model advancements and enterprise adoption have bolstered competitive positioning against OpenAI, fueling skin-in-the-game optimism for a blockbuster public debut possibly as early as Q4 2026. Lower brackets reflect slim chances of valuation compression, while 11% on no IPO by end-2027 accounts for regulatory hurdles or market volatility; watch for funding closure or S-1 filing as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Объем
$297,523Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus heavily favors a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's potential IPO at 88% implied probability, driven by explosive private valuations from recent funding rounds—reaching $380 billion post-money in February's $30 billion Series G, then surging to $900–950 billion in ongoing talks reported May 12 for another multibillion raise amid $9 billion annualized revenue run-rate. Claude large language model advancements and enterprise adoption have bolstered competitive positioning against OpenAI, fueling skin-in-the-game optimism for a blockbuster public debut possibly as early as Q4 2026. Lower brackets reflect slim chances of valuation compression, while 11% on no IPO by end-2027 accounts for regulatory hurdles or market volatility; watch for funding closure or S-1 filing as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$297,523Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's potential IPO at 88% implied probability, driven by explosive private valuations from recent funding rounds—reaching $380 billion post-money in February's $30 billion Series G, then surging to $900–950 billion in ongoing talks reported May 12 for another multibillion raise amid $9 billion annualized revenue run-rate. Claude large language model advancements and enterprise adoption have bolstered competitive positioning against OpenAI, fueling skin-in-the-game optimism for a blockbuster public debut possibly as early as Q4 2026. Lower brackets reflect slim chances of valuation compression, while 11% on no IPO by end-2027 accounts for regulatory hurdles or market volatility; watch for funding closure or S-1 filing as key catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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