OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and completion of a $7 billion secondary share sale in August set the stage for a potential late-2026 or 2027 IPO, with the company seeking a valuation up to $1 trillion against its most recent private mark of $852 billion. Rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage that now exceeds 40 percent of total revenue, supports elevated pricing, yet persistent operating losses—exceeding $1 per dollar of revenue in recent periods—introduce uncertainty around sustainable margins. Trader sentiment on closing market cap hinges on whether pre-IPO momentum, competitive positioning versus Anthropic, and broader AI sector multiples can sustain or expand the valuation multiple upon listing. Key upcoming catalysts include any public timeline update or additional funding activity that could shift implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1,516,603 Объем
$1,516,603 Объем
$800 млрд
87%
$1 трлн
73%
$1,2 трлн
59%
$1,4 трлн
40%
$1,6 трлн
18%
$1,516,603 Объем
$1,516,603 Объем
$800 млрд
87%
$1 трлн
73%
$1,2 трлн
59%
$1,4 трлн
40%
$1,6 трлн
18%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and completion of a $7 billion secondary share sale in August set the stage for a potential late-2026 or 2027 IPO, with the company seeking a valuation up to $1 trillion against its most recent private mark of $852 billion. Rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage that now exceeds 40 percent of total revenue, supports elevated pricing, yet persistent operating losses—exceeding $1 per dollar of revenue in recent periods—introduce uncertainty around sustainable margins. Trader sentiment on closing market cap hinges on whether pre-IPO momentum, competitive positioning versus Anthropic, and broader AI sector multiples can sustain or expand the valuation multiple upon listing. Key upcoming catalysts include any public timeline update or additional funding activity that could shift implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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