Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation, backed by $1.9 trillion in 2025 payment volume (up 34% year-over-year) and robust profitability, underpins trader sentiment amid the closely matched probabilities. Founders have reiterated no near-term IPO plans, favoring continued private status and secondary liquidity mechanisms, which supports the 44% implied odds of no listing by December 2027. The wide dispersion across closing market-cap buckets—from sub-$150 billion to $500 billion-plus—reflects uncertainty over listing timing, potential acquisition activity such as PayPal discussions, and the multiple the company could command in public markets relative to peers. Upcoming catalysts include any S-1 filing or further tender updates that could shift implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$250 млрд–$300 млрд 70%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 44%
<150 млрд $ 43%
$500 млрд+ 43%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2027 г.
<150 млрд $
43%
$150 млрд — $200 млрд
38%
$200 млрд — $250 млрд
9%
$250 млрд–$300 млрд
70%
$300–$350 млрд
-
$350–$400 млрд
38%
$400 млрд – $450 млрд
33%
450-500 млрд долларов
22%
$500 млрд+
43%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
44%
$250 млрд–$300 млрд 70%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 44%
<150 млрд $ 43%
$500 млрд+ 43%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2027 г.
<150 млрд $
$50 Объем
43%
$150 млрд — $200 млрд
$69 Объем
38%
$200 млрд — $250 млрд
$70 Объем
9%
$250 млрд–$300 млрд
$94 Объем
70%
$300–$350 млрд
$94 Объем
-
$350–$400 млрд
$81 Объем
38%
$400 млрд – $450 млрд
$94 Объем
33%
450-500 млрд долларов
$73 Объем
22%
$500 млрд+
$47 Объем
43%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
$63 Объем
44%
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation, backed by $1.9 trillion in 2025 payment volume (up 34% year-over-year) and robust profitability, underpins trader sentiment amid the closely matched probabilities. Founders have reiterated no near-term IPO plans, favoring continued private status and secondary liquidity mechanisms, which supports the 44% implied odds of no listing by December 2027. The wide dispersion across closing market-cap buckets—from sub-$150 billion to $500 billion-plus—reflects uncertainty over listing timing, potential acquisition activity such as PayPal discussions, and the multiple the company could command in public markets relative to peers. Upcoming catalysts include any S-1 filing or further tender updates that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Jul 1, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Объем
$735Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation, backed by $1.9 trillion in 2025 payment volume (up 34% year-over-year) and robust profitability, underpins trader sentiment amid the closely matched probabilities. Founders have reiterated no near-term IPO plans, favoring continued private status and secondary liquidity mechanisms, which supports the 44% implied odds of no listing by December 2027. The wide dispersion across closing market-cap buckets—from sub-$150 billion to $500 billion-plus—reflects uncertainty over listing timing, potential acquisition activity such as PayPal discussions, and the multiple the company could command in public markets relative to peers. Upcoming catalysts include any S-1 filing or further tender updates that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Объем
$735Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation, backed by $1.9 trillion in 2025 payment volume (up 34% year-over-year) and robust profitability, underpins trader sentiment amid the closely matched probabilities. Founders have reiterated no near-term IPO plans, favoring continued private status and secondary liquidity mechanisms, which supports the 44% implied odds of no listing by December 2027. The wide dispersion across closing market-cap buckets—from sub-$150 billion to $500 billion-plus—reflects uncertainty over listing timing, potential acquisition activity such as PayPal discussions, and the multiple the company could command in public markets relative to peers. Upcoming catalysts include any S-1 filing or further tender updates that could shift implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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