Recent hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and elevated inflation readings have driven the 5-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.53% as of September 2, 2026, up over 80 basis points year-over-year amid expectations of at least one policy rate hike this year. Persistent core PCE above 3%, geopolitical tensions boosting energy prices, and heavy Treasury issuance have lifted term premia and real yields while reducing prospects for near-term easing. Traders are monitoring the September FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment data, and any escalation in Middle East developments for further moves in the intermediate sector.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено4,90%
38%
4,83%
38%
4,78%
50%
4,73%
50%
4,70%
51%
4,67%
51%
4,64%
51%
4,61%
51%
4,58%
62%
$0.00 Объем
4,90%
38%
4,83%
38%
4,78%
50%
4,73%
50%
4,70%
51%
4,67%
51%
4,64%
51%
4,61%
51%
4,58%
62%
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and elevated inflation readings have driven the 5-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.53% as of September 2, 2026, up over 80 basis points year-over-year amid expectations of at least one policy rate hike this year. Persistent core PCE above 3%, geopolitical tensions boosting energy prices, and heavy Treasury issuance have lifted term premia and real yields while reducing prospects for near-term easing. Traders are monitoring the September FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment data, and any escalation in Middle East developments for further moves in the intermediate sector.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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