Persistent inflation above the Bank of Russia's 4% target, recently reaching 6% amid fuel price surges from refinery capacity constraints, positions no change as the leading outcome for the September 11 decision at current trader consensus levels. The central bank cut rates by 25 basis points to 14% in July while revising its 2026 inflation forecast upward to 6-7%, citing one-off factors alongside sticky underlying measures near 4-5% and expansionary fiscal policy. Moderate GDP growth and decelerating lending support a cautious pause to evaluate second-round effects, limiting prospects for further easing. An increase remains remote given the ongoing easing cycle since 2025 peaks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРешение Банка России в сентябре?
Без изменений 63%
Снижение 38%
Увеличение 1.7%
$62,862 Объем
$62,862 Объем
Снижение
38%
Без изменений
63%
Увеличение
2%
Без изменений 63%
Снижение 38%
Увеличение 1.7%
$62,862 Объем
$62,862 Объем
Снижение
38%
Без изменений
63%
Увеличение
2%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Jun 23, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation above the Bank of Russia's 4% target, recently reaching 6% amid fuel price surges from refinery capacity constraints, positions no change as the leading outcome for the September 11 decision at current trader consensus levels. The central bank cut rates by 25 basis points to 14% in July while revising its 2026 inflation forecast upward to 6-7%, citing one-off factors alongside sticky underlying measures near 4-5% and expansionary fiscal policy. Moderate GDP growth and decelerating lending support a cautious pause to evaluate second-round effects, limiting prospects for further easing. An increase remains remote given the ongoing easing cycle since 2025 peaks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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