Recent Q2 2026 GDP rebound of 1.5% quarter-over-quarter from a 0.6% contraction has not resolved uncertainty for Q3, as persistent weakness in fixed investment, subdued manufacturing, and USMCA review risks offset resilient consumption and nearshoring FDI. Institutional forecasts for full-year 2026 cluster between 0.8% and 1.7%, reflecting caution over potential US tariff shifts and Banxico's paused easing at 6.5%. With all growth buckets priced near 50%, trader sentiment highlights closely matched probabilities driven by swing factors including export demand, inflation trajectory, and policy clarity ahead of key data releases and trade negotiations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено<0.5% 38%
0.5-1.0% 38%
1.0-1.5% 38%
1.5-2.0% 38%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 окт. 2026 г.
<0.5%
38%
0.5-1.0%
38%
1.0-1.5%
38%
1.5-2.0%
38%
2.0-2.5%
38%
2.5-3.0%
38%
3.0-3.5%
38%
3.5%+
38%
<0.5% 38%
0.5-1.0% 38%
1.0-1.5% 38%
1.5-2.0% 38%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 окт. 2026 г.
<0.5%
$1 Объем
38%
0.5-1.0%
$0 Объем
38%
1.0-1.5%
$0 Объем
38%
1.5-2.0%
$0 Объем
38%
2.0-2.5%
$0 Объем
38%
2.5-3.0%
$0 Объем
38%
3.0-3.5%
$0 Объем
38%
3.5%+
$0 Объем
38%
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 GDP rebound of 1.5% quarter-over-quarter from a 0.6% contraction has not resolved uncertainty for Q3, as persistent weakness in fixed investment, subdued manufacturing, and USMCA review risks offset resilient consumption and nearshoring FDI. Institutional forecasts for full-year 2026 cluster between 0.8% and 1.7%, reflecting caution over potential US tariff shifts and Banxico's paused easing at 6.5%. With all growth buckets priced near 50%, trader sentiment highlights closely matched probabilities driven by swing factors including export demand, inflation trajectory, and policy clarity ahead of key data releases and trade negotiations.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Объем
$1Дата окончания
30 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 GDP rebound of 1.5% quarter-over-quarter from a 0.6% contraction has not resolved uncertainty for Q3, as persistent weakness in fixed investment, subdued manufacturing, and USMCA review risks offset resilient consumption and nearshoring FDI. Institutional forecasts for full-year 2026 cluster between 0.8% and 1.7%, reflecting caution over potential US tariff shifts and Banxico's paused easing at 6.5%. With all growth buckets priced near 50%, trader sentiment highlights closely matched probabilities driven by swing factors including export demand, inflation trajectory, and policy clarity ahead of key data releases and trade negotiations.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1Дата окончания
30 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q2 2026 GDP rebound of 1.5% quarter-over-quarter from a 0.6% contraction has not resolved uncertainty for Q3, as persistent weakness in fixed investment, subdued manufacturing, and USMCA review risks offset resilient consumption and nearshoring FDI. Institutional forecasts for full-year 2026 cluster between 0.8% and 1.7%, reflecting caution over potential US tariff shifts and Banxico's paused easing at 6.5%. With all growth buckets priced near 50%, trader sentiment highlights closely matched probabilities driven by swing factors including export demand, inflation trajectory, and policy clarity ahead of key data releases and trade negotiations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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