Recent July University of Michigan data showed a sharp rebound to 55.2 from 49.5 in June, aided by cooling gasoline prices post-Middle East tensions, though the reading remained 10.5% below year-ago levels amid five years of elevated prices. Traders price the August preliminary reading—due August 14—most heavily in the 52–57.9 range, reflecting uncertainty over whether inflation expectations (eased to 4.2% year-ahead in July) will stay contained or reaccelerate, alongside labor-market resilience and Fed policy signals. Persistent consumer focus on purchasing power and durable-goods affordability creates a narrow band for outcomes, with any hotter-than-expected CPI or retail-sales prints likely to weigh on sentiment while further energy-price relief could support the upper end of current market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено52,0–54,9 27%
55,0–57,9 22%
49,0–51,9 16%
58,0–60,9 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
28 авг. 2026 г.
<49,0
12%
49,0–51,9
16%
52,0–54,9
27%
55,0–57,9
22%
58,0–60,9
16%
61,0–63,9
10%
64,0+
3%
52,0–54,9 27%
55,0–57,9 22%
49,0–51,9 16%
58,0–60,9 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
28 авг. 2026 г.
<49,0
$97 Объем
12%
49,0–51,9
$114 Объем
16%
52,0–54,9
$2,375 Объем
27%
55,0–57,9
$1,063 Объем
22%
58,0–60,9
$413 Объем
16%
61,0–63,9
$50 Объем
10%
64,0+
$143 Объем
3%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July University of Michigan data showed a sharp rebound to 55.2 from 49.5 in June, aided by cooling gasoline prices post-Middle East tensions, though the reading remained 10.5% below year-ago levels amid five years of elevated prices. Traders price the August preliminary reading—due August 14—most heavily in the 52–57.9 range, reflecting uncertainty over whether inflation expectations (eased to 4.2% year-ahead in July) will stay contained or reaccelerate, alongside labor-market resilience and Fed policy signals. Persistent consumer focus on purchasing power and durable-goods affordability creates a narrow band for outcomes, with any hotter-than-expected CPI or retail-sales prints likely to weigh on sentiment while further energy-price relief could support the upper end of current market-implied odds.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Объем
$4,256Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July University of Michigan data showed a sharp rebound to 55.2 from 49.5 in June, aided by cooling gasoline prices post-Middle East tensions, though the reading remained 10.5% below year-ago levels amid five years of elevated prices. Traders price the August preliminary reading—due August 14—most heavily in the 52–57.9 range, reflecting uncertainty over whether inflation expectations (eased to 4.2% year-ahead in July) will stay contained or reaccelerate, alongside labor-market resilience and Fed policy signals. Persistent consumer focus on purchasing power and durable-goods affordability creates a narrow band for outcomes, with any hotter-than-expected CPI or retail-sales prints likely to weigh on sentiment while further energy-price relief could support the upper end of current market-implied odds.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$4,256Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July University of Michigan data showed a sharp rebound to 55.2 from 49.5 in June, aided by cooling gasoline prices post-Middle East tensions, though the reading remained 10.5% below year-ago levels amid five years of elevated prices. Traders price the August preliminary reading—due August 14—most heavily in the 52–57.9 range, reflecting uncertainty over whether inflation expectations (eased to 4.2% year-ahead in July) will stay contained or reaccelerate, alongside labor-market resilience and Fed policy signals. Persistent consumer focus on purchasing power and durable-goods affordability creates a narrow band for outcomes, with any hotter-than-expected CPI or retail-sales prints likely to weigh on sentiment while further energy-price relief could support the upper end of current market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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