Recent moderation in upstream prices after May’s 6.5% YoY peak has left July 2026 PPI YoY outcomes evenly contested near 5.5%. June’s 5.5% reading—below the 6.2% consensus—reflected a sharp energy-goods reversal that offset firmer services costs, creating ambiguity about whether the disinflation trend will extend or reverse amid renewed oil-price pressures from geopolitical developments. Trader positioning reflects this balance: core measures excluding food and energy remain elevated while headline volatility hinges on commodity swings and input-cost pass-through. With the August 13 release still weeks away, incoming data on retail sales, labor costs, and Treasury yields will likely determine whether probabilities cluster below or above the 5.5–5.8% range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено≤5,1% 50%
5,2% 50%
5,3% 50%
5,4% 50%
≤5,1%
50%
5,2%
50%
5,3%
50%
5,4%
50%
5,5%
50%
5,6%
50%
5,7%
50%
5,8%
50%
5,9%
50%
6,0%+
50%
≤5,1% 50%
5,2% 50%
5,3% 50%
5,4% 50%
≤5,1%
50%
5,2%
50%
5,3%
50%
5,4%
50%
5,5%
50%
5,6%
50%
5,7%
50%
5,8%
50%
5,9%
50%
6,0%+
50%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Jul 16, 2026, 10:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in upstream prices after May’s 6.5% YoY peak has left July 2026 PPI YoY outcomes evenly contested near 5.5%. June’s 5.5% reading—below the 6.2% consensus—reflected a sharp energy-goods reversal that offset firmer services costs, creating ambiguity about whether the disinflation trend will extend or reverse amid renewed oil-price pressures from geopolitical developments. Trader positioning reflects this balance: core measures excluding food and energy remain elevated while headline volatility hinges on commodity swings and input-cost pass-through. With the August 13 release still weeks away, incoming data on retail sales, labor costs, and Treasury yields will likely determine whether probabilities cluster below or above the 5.5–5.8% range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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