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Экономика·Parlays

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

icon for Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Экономика·Parlays

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

сент. 16

окт. 28

сент. 16

окт. 28

Other 55%

Pause–Pause–Pause 37%

Pause–Pause–Cut 3.3%

Pause–Cut–Pause 1.0%

Polymarket

$664,214 Объем

Other 55%

Pause–Pause–Pause 37%

Pause–Pause–Cut 3.3%

Pause–Cut–Pause 1.0%

Polymarket

$664,214 Объем

Pause–Pause–Pause

$224,173 Объем

37%

Pause–Pause–Cut

$51,057 Объем

3%

Pause–Cut–Pause

$31,933 Объем

1%

Pause–Cut–Cut

$23,467 Объем

1%

Other

$290,097 Объем

55%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated inflation and a divided July FOMC statement, where the Fed held the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% by a 9-3 vote with three members dissenting in favor of a hike, anchor trader sentiment for the Jul–Oct sequence. June CPI data showed headline inflation easing to 3.5% year-over-year from 4.2% and core at 2.6%, aided by lower energy prices after Middle East developments, yet remaining above the 2% target amid resilient growth and stable labor conditions. These factors support the 37% implied probability on Pause–Pause–Pause while elevating “Other” outcomes at 54.5%, reflecting expectations of possible hikes or mixed decisions. The September 15–16 and October 27–28 meetings, plus upcoming CPI releases and Jackson Hole, remain key catalysts that could shift the market-implied rate path.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.

A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".

Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Объем
$664,214
Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated inflation and a divided July FOMC statement, where the Fed held the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% by a 9-3 vote with three members dissenting in favor of a hike, anchor trader sentiment for the Jul–Oct sequence. June CPI data showed headline inflation easing to 3.5% year-over-year from 4.2% and core at 2.6%, aided by lower energy prices after Middle East developments, yet remaining above the 2% target amid resilient growth and stable labor conditions. These factors support the 37% implied probability on Pause–Pause–Pause while elevating “Other” outcomes at 54.5%, reflecting expectations of possible hikes or mixed decisions. The September 15–16 and October 27–28 meetings, plus upcoming CPI releases and Jackson Hole, remain key catalysts that could shift the market-implied rate path.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.

A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".

Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Объем
$664,214
Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Связанные

icon for Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

50%
icon for Не будет ли изменений в процентных ставках ФРС после заседания в октябре 2026 года?

Не будет ли изменений в процентных ставках ФРС после заседания в октябре 2026 года?

69%
Да
icon for Какое будет следующее изменение ставки ФРС?

Какое будет следующее изменение ставки ФРС?

67%
Повышение

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 9 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Other» с 55%, за ним следует «Pause–Pause–Pause» с 37%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 55¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 55%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $664.2K с момента запуска рынка Jun 17, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)», просмотри 9 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)» — «Other» с 55%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 55%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Pause–Pause–Pause» с 37%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.